Category: Shall We Play The Game?

Before I get going on a complex (and possibly convoluted) post, allow me to commend two resources to you. I plan to add them to the recommended box in the upper left here soon.

First, if you have not already heard about her and her work, meet Data republican (small R, profile on X). She has been doing an absolutely amazing job on tracking the money, the networks, and much more behind “the blob” aka the world-wide swamp. Not just content to assist DOGE, she’s dug in and done much, much more. There are a lot important people very unhappy with that, especially since some of her work has shown interesting things: like how many of the judges currently abusing nationwide stays and such have a financial interest in getting money to the NGOs, either directly or through family members. In fact, at least one formal complaint has been filed about failure to acknowledge a major conflict of interest.

Unrelated to today’s post, I also enjoyed her posting of a essay by her pastor on the historical case for Christ. I also want to explore her work that cross-references Bible verses with the Ante-Nicene Fathers. Here’s a link on X to a video showing how to use that tool. In my free time I’m reading those writings in full, and if you haven’t read Clement, St. Justin the Martyr, and others, you truly are missing some good works.

She is a fascinating lady, and my hat is off to her given all the challenges she faced before having so many people go after her for shining a light. Also, her mother has joined X and is a hoot! Her husband supports her and is running a small but growing business that I would love to support via some purchases. That’s a family I would not mind meeting.

Second, if you are not already familiar with Mike Benz, currently of the Foundation For Freedom Online and the self-described monstrosity Weapons of Mass Deletion. His work on the origin of Soros is worth the time to watch (X link to videeo) and read. In fact, if you want what I call the recent-past backgrounds on several things underway, you need to check into his work. I note recent past as he is covering a lot of things that have developed over the last decade or two, with a few going back further.

Keep in mind, a lot of what we are dealing with — particularly in terms of our current (so-called) “elite” government with all the best people — truly got started under that loathsome creature Wilson. In fact, much of what has turned into “sex inc.” started to step into the light about that time. Those efforts set the stage for what came in the mid- to late-1940s when it truly went public with things like the Kinsey Institute, and began the normalization process underway today. To me, right now, it appears that those initial efforts predated (spit) Gramsci, who both took advantage of them and may well have been taken advantage of by those behind them.

The history of sex and sexuality I will leave for later. History is fascinating, enlightening, and sometimes something that will make you sick to your stomach. I will say that I am thankful for Christianity as it put a stop to a number of things that today we find extremely horrific. Which is why I think so many in power hate it, but that’s also a post for another day.

Now, back to the gathering storm. I want to thank both Data republican and Mike Benz as they did a lot of hard work, and provided the data and analysis that is helping me sort out some of the patterns in the data. I think they are now tag-teaming the National Endowment for Democracy (NED) and its many tentacles. That is truly one to watch as it ties Soros and more into what’s going on in the U.S.

Before I forget, always remember that even when the data lies (i.e. most corporate media reports), the patterns in and around that data rarely do. The patterns matter, and I find it interesting that even with bad data included, the patterns seem to flow around it for those looking. Just something to keep in mind as you look at things yourself.

If you look at what Data republican and Mike have put together, it’s drawing the lines between points many never knew existed. It’s documenting the incestuous relationship between progressives, the NGOs, and others in what I’ve taken to calling The Fraternity. That’s the families (dynasties) that have been involved with modern governance since Wilson, and especially after FDR. Note how they intermarry and act much as royalty did (and still does).

The interesting thing about their work is that a lot of points (and people) most had no idea were a part of things have been exposed. I suggest you download the data where you can, as if efforts aren’t made to take it out I will be surprised. Side note, I’m glad both have security. Cockroaches do NOT appreciate having a light shone on them and their activities.

While much of that work involves people in the United States (and it is worth noting how much of the money to NGOs to help others elsewhere stayed right here in the U.S.), there is a fair bit on Europe as well. In fact, you there appears to be a good bit on Klaus Schwab and the other members of SPECTRE, er, the World Economic Forum rather. It is quite a web.

Thing is, you need to have at least a general idea of that web for some of my analysis to make sense. It provides background and also allows some potential future to be examined with more accuracy. It’s also important because it helps you to understand certain things happening now, and that are probable in the near future.

The group that has in many respects run most of the world since Wilson is like any other group that has come to power. We had the founders, who took the lead and built up the system; the first generation after who maintained and pushed the narrative of that the system was the best, enlightened, and proper for society and the world; and, the generations that followed who don’t truly understand history (especially their own) and incapable of restraint or self-sacrifice. It’s a story old as time and many a dynasty has seen it.

The current generation of the so-called elites, unlike previous generations, has no fallback. They really were bred and raised to fill certain slots in the machine, and are now facing a question most of us outside that fraternity have faced at one time or another: now what. Our job has gone away, outsourced to a mortal enemy (China, etc.), eliminated for a .ooo5 cent increase in profit, changes in the market, etc. Most of us have picked up and found something else to do, may have even had some training in that before. Most of the current elite do not have any marketable skills outside their current jobs. Many of which are going away with the cutting off of the NGO and related spigots.

It’s no wonder that the mommies and daddies of The Fraternity who are judges are so busy tying Article III into pretzels in an effort to stop the Executive (Article II powers), even though they are acting outside of the Constitution. And, yes, a good case can be made for that. As I noted here, Roberts is all-in on expanding the power of the Courts, and I’m not sure he would reign in the lower courts even if the rest of the Justices held guns to his head. And, yes, it would be extra-Constitutional to expand said powers — but have you looked at how much current government power is de facto and not de jure?

Also, again, it is well worth noting the number of judges involved in these cases that have ties via family to the NGOs and other things being defunded. Start taking names and plug them into the various searches and databases. Very interesting, as Arte would say.

No dynasty wants to see it’s time end. The current dynasty is no different. It wants and needs to be seen as the natural leaders of the world, of civilization, and of all that is right and good. Their forefathers knew that you had to throw a bone to the peasants (and make no mistake, that is how pretty much all of them see us), while most of this generation just want to bone the peasants. Literally even.

So, what’s going on in the courts right now is a fight to stay in power. It’s but one part of the efforts, and I suspect we may see an active riot season this year. George Floyd served them well, such that the last few riot seasons have not been active. I expect that to change this year, and this post (and related) are but one indicator of that. There are a lot of such indicators and individually they don’t mean much. Put them together and you get a picture of groups trying to mobilize: and to normalize violence against political enemies. Look around (anti-) social media and see how much is out there.

Then look at Europe and what is going on there. Germany has done many interesting things, including trying to outlaw the populist party AfD. Romania abrogated its elections because the wrong candidate won. France tried to do to LePen what was done here to Trump. The EU is striking out at member states who won’t fall into line in many ways and on several levels.

And it’s not working. The people are not taking it. In Ireland, there’s been more than a month of protests at what it’s government is doing. France saw a huge pushback against the government (which has refused to acknowledge that a new government was elected) that has them rocked back a bit. Italy, Hungary, and others are defying the EU on several fronts. In fact, look up who Meloni just endorsed in the new Romanian presidential election. That is a finger to the EU…

Now, the next layer on top of this involves the mass migrations underway. Leaving all else aside, look at how many countries have agreed, or been forced, to accept huge numbers of military-aged Islamic males into their borders. Look at how they, and those that came before the latest, are pushing for Sharia and demanding upon violence that their will be done. The imams that have popped up with them are openly saying that they intend to take over, that they will take power by any means. I want you to look up those speeches to be sure you believe it, for you should believe what they say. It’s being tried here too, right now, and yes you should consider within that equation the battalion or so of military-aged Islamic males that came across our southern border under the Biden Regency.

Reminder: Migration, and mass movement of refugees involves men, women, and children. The mass movement of military-aged males is, and always has been, an invasion. Invasions are hostile things, and should be treated accordingly.

Now, there are several reasons for encouraging mass invasion by The Fraternity and related. SPECTRE, er, I mean the World Economic Forum types have several, and keeping the peasants in line and the gravy train going figures large among them. At this point, the reasons are in many ways irrelevant as circumstances have caught up and passed the original plans.

Now, two other parts to consider are Russia and China. I’ve talked about Russia, Russkiy Mir, and the horrible demographics for a while now. Russia is desperate to not just regain the empire it had, but to bring in new areas. They have to as they (Rus) really are a minority in their own country, and they have in many respects a negative birth rate. Their economy blows, and I’ve outlined some of the many manufacturing and other problems they have. What surprises many is that China has some huge economic problems that are frantically being papered over. They also have demographic and other problems, and right now they stay afloat and a threat mainly because it is far cheaper to keep buying and/or blackmailing foreign politicians than it is to bite the bullet and fix the causes of the problems. Xi, like Putin, can’t afford to admit to the core problems as to do so ends their runs.

Finally, let’s not forget Iran, Pakistan, and India. I’m beyond glad that things got shut down fast in the latest between the latter. No, it’s not all good now, as there is a long history there that isn’t going to magically go away. No more than the issues between Indian and China (and the low-level war underway there) are going to go away. Iran is well on the way to the bomb, if they don’t have it already. If you missed it, I mentioned a seismic event in Iran in this post, and while I am trying to get more data on it, it is indeed worrying, especially when you look at some officially non-related things going on. Keep in mind that Iran is a powder keg and close to going up. As with The Fraternity, Putin, Xi, and others, they see the clock ticking and will do anything to stay in power.

There is more, but those are the major chunk of the background for my current thoughts. Right now, I see the gathering storm as being in three phases.

First phase is pretty much The Blob Strikes Back. The Fraternity and related are not going to go quietly. Expect an energetic riot season here and abroad. Also, even if they lose in the courts, they may win in that right now Roberts and the judges are shredding the stature of the Court. The public already sees that there is a two-tier (or more) system of justice, and that the current Court and courts are acting well outside the “norms” of which we are used to. The Republic, and the greater society represented in the Social Compact, depend on voluntary compliance and to some degree illusion. Erode that trust, strip away the illusion, and things fail. We need all three legs, and we need them at full strength.

Now, I will say here that even if The Blob wins, I think it will be temporary. I think that forces are in play historically that will bring them down again and hard. Problem is, if that happens, I think it could be hard enough to put us below the level of maintaining our current civilization. We are already on the path of a birthrate such that it can’t be sustained. It’s one of several reasons I would love to see Elon succeed and get us off this mudball. See this for some further discussions on that topic.

That said, I’m also worried about the more than three battalions of military-aged males that came over our southern border. In addition to the Islamics already mentioned, it seems that one of those battalions was of military aged males from Syria, Chechnyia, and other interesting places, all of which do not wish us well. I suggest you read Kurt Schlicter’s book The Attack. No, I get nothing from the link, I depend on your gifts as I want you to know that if I endorse a product, it’s not because I get paid to do so. Now, the first group I mentioned is part of a take-over effort. What this group can do is not just terror, but infrastructure attacks in support of outside powers as well as possibly The Blob/The Fraternity.

Oh, and that third battalion? Have you looked at how many military-aged Chinese men came across? Some of them very fit and of military bearing? What do you think could happen if we get tangled up with China? Keep it in mind.

So, energetic riot season with the possibility of some extra severe events is a possibility. Also, don’t forget the amazing amount of anger out there among the public. While they are often disparaged as “normies” they are well aware of what is going on, and in that our so-called leaders are not leading. In fact, they are getting even more angry as they watch Congress fritter away what they gave them via the vote in Uniparty Games (which may be like one version of reindeer games). Also, the current “Game of Lies” by corporate media is not helping. The public saw the decline of Biden and recognized the Regency, of which corporate media was a willing part. To claim now they were deceived is getting reactions such that “pull the other one” is one of the more polite.

Now, the progressives view violence (like riot season) as a rheostat, that can be dialed up or down at need. Lenin used it well, and it’s been used very effectively here since the 60s. Problem is, most others view it as a binary switch. The cute games being played with calling for the assassination of Trump via semi-deniable routes like “86” is not going over well with a majority of the public. If anything does happen, it will no longer be riot season and what happens will not be pretty. I really do wish certain people and groups would get that and not try to force us to slide down the razor blade of life into a shark tank. We do NOT want to go there, no matter what grifters on all sides push.

Second phase is a different form of societal spasm or collapse. It is demographics and Islam. Many imams are quite open about outbreeding and seizing power that way, even if quieter about the use of violence towards that end. In Europe, if you look at the demographics and the “flexibility” given to various Islamic populations, Germany, France, England, and Spain are pretty much gone. In England, Labor and other governments cheerfully traded their girl children (and some boys) to them for votes and political power, never realizing that the Islamics were playing a longer game. Similar situation in Germany, though not as open. France is a little different in background, but not in outcome. If there is a way to deal with this peacefully, I think the window is well on the way closed if not already closed. I don’t see any way for any of them to deal with it without the use of force. And, I don’t see any of those governments having the will to do so.

However, I agree with something Tom Kratman said a while back about the people of France. If their government won’t do it’s job, the people may do so. In fact, I think he mentioned the bloody practicality of the French people, and if they do move to deal with the problem (and there are signs of that level of unrest if you are paying attention), it will not be pretty. In fact, given the thoughts of the public about Macaroon and company going after LePen, some of the politicians might just want to hope they stop with dealing with the Islamic problem. That one could get very interesting. By the way, if you haven’t read Col. Kratman’s book Caliphate, it is a good read in this context.

I see Italy having a chance thanks to Meloni. She’s doing what she can on immigration and is trying to deal with the various problems caused by the EU. The leadership of the EU, of course, does not care for her and her recent endorsement of Simion in Romania is a finger in their eye as noted earlier.

Part of what went into my post on what I suggest replace NATO with is that I see Italy, Romania, Serbia, possibly Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, and the Baltics as an eastern rampart to hold the line against the new Islamic republics in Germany, England, etc. They are defying the EU on “migration” and holding fast borders. I also think they may be the best hope for keeping Western Civilization alive in Europe. Post for another day, but it is a factor in my thinking here. For those interested in my thoughts on NATO, see here and here. Oh, and for saying that I am not a serious person for suggesting we leave NATO or consider nuclear Eastern Europe? I wear that as a badge of honor, and will be glad to let history show who got more things right in the prediction game.

Now, do I see such happening here? Yes. In fact the outbreed and take over slowly is well underway. Just look at the city attempt down in Texas. Don’t forget all the military-aged Islamics who came over the border. I don’t think the normal violence will work (in fact, think it will backfire rather spectacularly long run), but it doesn’t mean they won’t try it. Also, our own reproduction demographics are not good, despite all of Elon’s efforts to personally make up for it. We need to change that, seriously.

Third phase of potential storm relies on countries like Russia, China, Iran, etc. As long as we have the current administration, I think Xi will hold off on Taiwan and such. He’s desperate, but the long game offers good odds to him. I think China will not survive a war, even though they are likely to destroy current U.S. forces in the region. Economically and otherwise I don’t think they can sustain the current system and situation through a war. There are a lot of fractures within the current system, and they could either push Xi into foolishness or he may can hold them together long enough for them to become someone else’s problem. Time for a Reagan-style push I think.

Iran has plans, but no longer have their patsy in the form of the Biden Regency. They are very well aware that if they push, Trump will push back. The last time they pushed, a certain Mr. Soleimani got to go meet his 72 Virginians. If The Fraternity manages to make a comeback, this could change. Which is why we need to end their efforts to become a nuclear power. I would prefer a mostly peaceful way, but if necessary the facilities need to be taken out hard. Also, the Biden Regency turned its back on some opportunities to help the people of Iran. I hope the current administration would support any such opportunities that came their way.

As for Russia, see my previous writings on same. That is a complex topic and I think efforts to bring about peace between Russia and Ukraine are needed and important. The key will be ensuring security for Ukraine, as doing so tends to trigger Russia. Keep in mind that as a reader pointed out a while back, they are not the eastern-most part of the West, but rather the Western-most part of the East. They have a different history and perceptions, and frankly plans. Those need to be taken into account. So far, again, the current administration has respect in Moscow and I hope that this can be leveraged to the good of all.

There may well be a storm or storms. Thing is, if you look at the data and the patterns, and operate on a realistic basis, you can avoid them or minimize the damage they can do. The storms will gather, but with good leadership and individual preparation, much can be avoided. For the former, start local and build upwards. I think we got lucky in the last election, but good leadership needs good support, and that is sorely lacking. I still say Vladimir will not nuke DC and surroundings as he wants to hurt us, not help us. Build the leadership and lets get back to a solid, small-government Republic. Don’t fall for all the games and grifters — be of good cheer, good faith, and solid actions.

As always, keep your friends and family close, and your things where you can find them in the dark. Prepare for the worst, hope for the best, and take what comes. Have Faith. And hang in there, as there is a lot more light out there right now than darkness.

Getting hit by lightning is not fun! If you would like to help me in my recovery efforts, feel free to hit the fundraiser at A New Life on GiveSendGo, use the options in the Tip Jar in the upper right, or drop me a line to discuss other methods. There is also the Amazon Wish List in the Bard’s Jar. It is thanks to your gifts and prayers that I am still going. Thank you.

To the point that Instapundit seems to be, but I’m close. And not just on Russian systems and nuclear devices — our own are in a rather parlous state. Nor is my take on Russia just because of the latest launch test failure.

There is a lot I don’t share here either because I can’t confirm it or because while there may be some confirmation I’m having a hard time believing it. This includes internal politics and intrigue in the Kremlin, and in Russia in general. It doesn’t include the sad state of Russia’s much vaunted stockpiles, as that information has been confirmed in every way possible short of personal physical inspection. And while I wouldn’t mind so doing, I do suspect Vladimir and a few others might object to my so doing.

However, it does include Russia’s special weapons and launch systems. And our own. In both cases, launch tests have not gone to plan (cough), launch and other systems have had issues, and one has to wonder about maintenance — which special weapons require even above and beyond launch systems.

Give Russia credit: our “elite leadership” have us stuck with Minuteman systems and have shot down, shut down, or otherwise killed everything that could have replaced it. Russia is working to update it’s launch systems via the liquid-fueled SARMAT II (SATAN II) which we have discussed before. This Ronco missile (it slices, it dices, it can dance, it can sing, etc.) was supposed to replace previous systems. Five years ago. Still ain’t there. See previous discussions for more on it. Heck, there are rumors of a SATAN III in development, but given that SARMAT still isn’t up and running I’m inclined to put that down to marketing for now.

We’ve also talked a bit here before about nuclear weapons and such, and that they can have a bit of a delicate disposition. To be polite. Some of the comments on previous discussions have highlighted such, and come from people with firsthand knowledge.

Officially, I’m still in the twenty percent block; that is, I think as many as twenty percent of the launch systems (other than submarine launched missiles) may work, twenty percent of the warheads may work, etc. I am, however, starting to revise that down a bit. I really don’t want to find out if I’m right, but the smart money is on Russia (and ourselves) blustering but not risking. Now, insanity comes in the form of Iran and other newer members/soon-to-be members of the nuclear club as I think their efforts may well work as they have not been hobbled by test bans and the like. Not a happy making thought.

If anyone uses a weapon in the near future, and it works, betting it is the latter rather than Russia or ourselves.

By the way, if anyone has any info on if the 1,000 Chechen troops supporting Vladimir are still in Moscow at the hotel, please let me know. As I have noted more than once recently, there are some strange things going on in and around a certain red-brick structure.

Getting hit by lightning is not fun! If you would like to help me in my recovery efforts, which include moving once we have medical issues cleared up, feel free to hit the fundraiser at A New Life on GiveSendGo, use the options in the Tip Jar in the upper right, or drop me a line to discuss other methods. There is also the Amazon Wish List in the Bard’s Jar. It is thanks to your gifts and prayers that I am still going. Thank you.

In several of the posts in my category on nuclear use and/or war, I talk about the “actors” involved. No, not the Hollyweird types but the (so-called) leaders of various nuclear powers.

Back when such was primarily the U.S. and Soviet Union, the basic feeling was that both parties were rational actors. That is, they were of reasonably sound mind, had rational interests in protecting the lives and livelihoods of their respective countries, and were not bent on destroying the world. Even as the club grew, this remained the basic framework for evaluation and consideration of the actions of those people.

There was always at least some (lip) service given to the potential for madmen to get control of a weapon or even a missile or plane. Or, that some form of technological failure would set things off. The presumptions behind Fail Safe (book and movie) was about the former, while the satire Dr. Strangelove presented the latter. That said, both dealt with larger-scale events and both led to efforts to prevent or mitigate same. Twilight’s Last Gleaming looked at someone gaining control of a nuclear missile command post/silo. The ridiculous The Manhattan Project looked at a student building an atomic bomb. Dawn’s Early Light examined rogue Soviet agents firing a missile from Turkey to provoke an exchange.

As far as the public (and media of the day) were concerned, the real problems lay with rational actors and the chance for mistakes or other to lead to an exchange. The public sentiment seemed to be that rational actors would otherwise never consider a nuclear exchange. The chance of a madman/terrorist getting a bomb was not considered real in terms of public perceptions. For those actually involved with security and proliferation, it was a larger concern than was generally shared with the public. So, between the perceptions of the public outlined above via movies, and concerns for safety, as weapon design advanced so did the safety mechanisms. PIDs (which could be snap hooks or cheap padlocks) were replaced by PALs. At least for some weapons, which is why the loss of the Soviet arms depot just before the Soviet Union came apart was (and is) worrying to the pros. Odds of any such weapons still being viable, if they ever existed or were missing, is slim. That said, the materials and parts within them are potentially a different matter. If they were there, real, and missing that is.

So, what happens when a state with nuclear weapons is not a rational actor in accordance with the basic framework? What happens when it’s not one madman who gets in charge, but rather an entire government that has a very different take on the world and what is rational within it?

It’s a very interesting question, and one we may get to explore more than theoretically in the coming days. A certain degree of lip service, if that, has been given to the concept of a state that has a very different take on politics and religion, but the “experts” have tended to push that they would behave as rational actors. My thoughts on that have never been in full (or most other) agreement as the leaders of such a country would not think as we think, within a framework of thought crafted by Western civilization. Pretty much the “mores” argument on dealing with the Soviets/Russians, but with added mayhem.

So, in the last week we’ve had a country, that if it is not already a nuclear weapons power is extremely close to being such, attacking multiple countries not just by proxy but directly via ballistic missiles — including three that are believed to be nuclear powers. This on top of conducting “covert” operations on a wide scale, possibly into the Americas. A government hanging on in many ways by a thread with a population that is a powder keg looking for a spark. A government that is a theocracy that makes typical repression look tame. A government that advocates and works for their version of Armageddon as it will bring about the return of the hidden imam and the creation of a world-wide Islamic caliphate.

By no measure can Iran be considered a typical rational actor in terms of nuclear use/non-use scenarios. In fact, I consider them far more unstable than North Korea, and that’s saying something. Especially given a number of rather troubling developments with Kim and the North Korean government/military that don’t bode well for a peaceful 2024. That’s a nightmare that I will leave for others to explain. In regards Iran, you have a regime that has no regard for human life on any level. Such is a Western concept they reject completely and totally. They consider lives outside of themselves as even less than those they wantonly kill or maim to stay in power.

Aside from the U.S. and Israel, Iran has chosen to attack Pakistan, which is a nuclear power. Which has responded with attacks of its own that may be just the start of retaliation per various declarations. While some are saying they won’t really go at it as both are Islamic, the fact is they are two different “flavors” of Islam and they are not compatible. This has the potential to get very, very interesting on its own.

Now, let’s look at a known feature of Iranian activities: the use of proxies/catspaws. Something I’ve brought up from time to time is a concern that this would apply even to nuclear operations. To make it even more fun, I can think of several ways they could make such a use appear to be the result of others being careless, such as China or North Korea. There is growing evidence that both the latter have supplied weapons (and more) to Hamass, Hezbowlah, and the Houthi/Hootie. Or, despite their apparent closeness to Russia, suspect that they would be more than glad to set them up as well.

Given the reported involvement of China with Iran’s nuclear weapon and missile development, do you think it would be hard to get enough material to obfuscate the origins of a nuclear weapon? Or that others might share material (or help obtain such) to use for such a purpose from others? While analysis can often tell us where the nuclear materials in any device, dirty or otherwise, came from there has always been the possibility of spoofing that, or at least to providing enough to put the analysis into question. Remember that arms depot and that there is potentially a fair bit of nuclear materials available for use/reuse, from every major nuclear power. Just a thought to brighten your day.

Now, let’s kick things up a notch. Imagine if a nuclear weapon detonated within Yemen, or after being launched by the Houthi at a ship in the gap. On the former, I would expect to see Israel blamed and the large number of governments demand (or even execute) attacks on/destruction of Israel. The huge amount (and growing) of antisemitism is not an accident or otherwise unplanned. Even if it was clear the detonation came from a missile or drone launched from Yemen, expect a large and coordinated push to blame Israel. Now, to kick it up even further, consider what would happen if the Biden Regency, which is not terribly pro-Israel (and has a number of antisemites within it) has to react to American warships, or even a CBG, caught in such a blast.

Or, while less likely image if something were to happen in or near Venezuela where both China and Iran have been busy, busy, busy. Imagine it happened to a British ship or ships, or to the capital of the country they want to invade. Far fetched you say? Not as much as I would like.

Because it all comes back to Iran being a non-rational state actor. They are an Islamic theocracy driven by religious beliefs and more importantly goals. Their actions have to be analyzed and considered in that light. To continue, as some “experts” seem determined to do, to treat and analyze them as rational actors is ridiculous. Even absent nuclear intents, it is foolish in the extreme to consider them a rational actor and treat them accordingly.

That the Biden Regency/Obama II The Dementia Boogaloo will continue to do so, and work for them instead of against them, is a given. Once bought, they do tend to stay bought… Which is all the more likely to escalate the situation. It is also driving a wedge into a number of long-term and/or important alliances. This fracturing is very detrimental to the concepts of peace and stability, be it deliberate or otherwise. It also means anything done by another that might be effective will be resisted if not prevented by the Regency.

Meantime, Iran will continue it’s international game of chicken and work towards its own ends. While for many in the West the attacks on three nuclear powers makes no sense, it did and does make sense to the mad mullahs in Tehran. I strongly suspect we would be a lot better off if our experts would start trying to look at it from their viewpoint rather than continuing to try to shoehorn it into the rational actor box. They are not rational actors as we think of it, and failure to acknowledge that is going to have very bad results.

Getting hit by lightning is not fun! If you would like to help me in my recovery efforts, which include moving once we have medical issues cleared up, feel free to hit the fundraiser at A New Life on GiveSendGo, use the options in the Tip Jar in the upper right, or drop me a line to discuss other methods. It is thanks to your gifts and prayers that I am still going. Thank you.