Belated Veteran’s Day

While I am not a veteran, I respect and honor all those who have served in uniform over the years. It has been my honor to have been a small part of the parade in NYC a couple of times, and to head up some events at the NASDAQ on Veteran’s Day. I’ve even marched in or helped out a time or two with the Indianapolis parade.

I’m blessed to have met a number of regular readers from here and from Blackfive over the years, and I salute you all. And, per my usual posts there and here, Veteran’s Day is the right day to thank for service and to honor the living (Memorial Day is for those who gave all).

Yesterday was very different from years past. Instead of being involved in events (and raising a glass with real Vets), I spent it going through years of things getting ready for my yard/pre-estate sale this weekend. I was actually surprised at how many assault packs I have, and will be selling them all along with a tactical briefcase and other odds and ends. Lots of clothing and even some artwork. There are some antique tools, a modern drill press, and a grinder/motor stand that is a bit unusual: it was made from scrap at an aerospace machine shop. It is a bit rugged, shall we say. I’ve even decided to sell a few mementos given me over the years. I have no children to give them too, and would rather see them off to a good home while I can rather than risk them hitting the garbage can once I’m gone.

Today I hope to hit the storage unit one last time before spending the afternoon and evening at the Church. I have a meeting with a nun who knows a great deal about liturgics who may be willing to help me as I learn about the same, then Vespers and a class. Also, borrowing two folding tables from the Church for the yard sale. Tomorrow will be spent on final pricing and preparation. Friday morning I roll things out and the adventure begins. If you are in or near Indy and interested, drop me a line and I will give you the addy.

Finally, don’t limit your appreciation of Vets to Veteran’s Day. All this week is a good time to buy a meal on the QT, buy a drink for them, or do other things to say thanks. For some, simply sitting and listening to them is the best and nicest thing you can do, especially our older Veterans.

Getting hit by lightning is not fun! If you would like to help me in my recovery efforts, and to start a truly new life, feel free to hit the fundraiser at A New Life on GiveSendGo, use the options in the Tip Jar in the upper right, or drop me a line to discuss other methods. If you want to know some of what it is going for, read here. There is also the Amazon Wish List in the Bard’s Jar. It is thanks to your gifts and prayers that I am still going. Thank you.

USS Robert A. Heinlein

Okay, got this from Sarah A. Hoyt over on X today, and I’m in. Help make this go viral.

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It is the prerogative of the Secretary of the Navy to name Navy vessels. Navy policy is to name destroyers for deceased members of the Navy. We want the new Secretary of the Navy – John Phelan — to name a future DDG-51 Flight III destroyer for Robert A. Heinlein. This would happen if lots of people write asking him to name a future Arleigh Burke-class destroyer for Heinlein. Phelan’s address is: The Honorable John Phelan Secretary of the Navy Room 4E686 Defense Pentagon Washington, D.C. 20301 More information may be found at the Campaign website. http://USSRobertAHeinlein.com What To Do — • Write John Phelan; ask him to name a U.S. Navy vessel the U.S.S. Robert A. Heinlein. • Get as many others as you can to do the same! • Spread the information on the Campaign as far and as wide as possible!

Kamchatka

I noted somewhere the other day that the Ring of Fire was getting sparky, but wasn’t expecting an 8.8 off Kamchatka. Fact is, there are many small earthquakes every day, some in areas that people don’t think get earthquakes. Most are either deep enough or small enough that only seismologists notice them. Some faults, like the New Madrid, only seem to have a major event every few hundred years. Others, well, go off quite frequently, at least in geological terms.

When talking preparedness, I don’t focus on the almost infinite number of things that can happen, but in the types of damage they can do. Other than following earthquake building codes and suggestions when building structures, there’s not a lot you can do. I will note that some of the same things that help houses and other structures deal with high winds and tornadoes can help with mitigating structural damage from an earthquake, as they help a bit with flexibility and holding things together against unusual stresses.

My understanding is that you need a combination of flexibility and stability to avoid major structural damage. Of course, in some cases, there is not a lot you can do. Soil geology at the surface plays a large roll on how the seismic waves “act” on things. In the New Madrid quake some areas had the soil essentially “liquify” resulting in things in the ground shooting up (such as caskets) and things on the surface (like houses and other structures, going down almost without a trace.

Unlike weather phenomena, earthquake prediction is far more art than science. It’s being worked on, but we’re not there yet. So, it’s going to hit with little or no warning — which means your preparations have to be on reaction rather than being pro-active. It’s a different bit of planning, and if near the coast you should have a bug-out plan not only made but ready to go on zero notice for tsunami events, and elsewhere the same given that widespread fires can break out, dams fail, etc. Figure routes are likely to be clogged, and plan accordingly.

One of the more novel, and potentially very effective for the actual quake itself, was the tethered hot air balloon Daryl Dragon (the Captain of Captain and Tennille) allegedly had behind their house. If things were bad, launch and wait for things to settle down before coming down. Not sure if it was true or not, but seem to recall he talked about it in an interview or two. Fact is, if you could go up (or were up) when it hits, and stay up a while, it would allow you to miss the worst of things. At least initially.

On a more serious note, I am going to be interested to see what comes out in regards Petropavlovsk in the next few days. Between the earthquake and tsunami waves, it will be interesting to see what can be seen in regards the Russian Pacific Fleet, other bases, and the nuclear storage facilities. In particular, you do have to wonder how the subs tied up alongside — especially the boomers — fared. So far, not hearing of much damage but it’s well worth keeping an eye on.

Finally, in terms of preparedness, earthquakes are one of the reason to keep digging and demolition tools handy. There are a number of things that could leave one’s safe space covered in debris. Always be prepared to dig out, pry things up and over, or if possible jack or brace things so they don’t come down any further. Shovels, axes, pry bars, saws, jacks, rope, etc. are good to have around anytime, but may be even more appreciated after a quake.

Keep in mind that the Midwest really isn’t that well prepared for the New Madrid to pop off again. Building codes most places really don’t include earthquakes, and other mitigation actions aren’t there. The last time the New Madrid really kicked off, it was felt as far east as New York, a massive lake was formed in Tennessee, and portions of the Mississippi ran backwards for a time as plates were forced up. I may have to look for something I wrote about this years ago, as the area has built up so much now that a major event will devastate a good part of the center of the country.

Nor are the San Andreas and the New Madrid all we have to worry about. So, don’t think that because you are not in California you have nothing to worry about from a quake or quakes. As always, preparedness pays.

As always, keep your family and friends close, and your things where you can find them in the dark — even if the earth is moving (and not from a happy thing).

Getting hit by lightning is not fun! If you would like to help me in my recovery efforts, feel free to hit the fundraiser at A New Life on GiveSendGo, use the options in the Tip Jar in the upper right, or drop me a line to discuss other methods. If you want to know some of what it is going for, read here. There is also the Amazon Wish List in the Bard’s Jar. It is thanks to your gifts and prayers that I am still going. Thank you.

Re-Thinking Thinking About The Unthinkable

The good CDR Salamander has just put up a must-read post about nuclear war, nuclear theory, and preventing ‘the unthinkable.’ It is very well written; very well considered; and, refreshingly honest about where we are in terms of deterrence.

There are several points he makes with which I fully agree and endorse fully. We’ve been stuck in a mindset that is indeed “stuck in aspic” (LOVE that whole paragraph!) with the mouldering corpse of Kahn-ic thought for far too long. The so-called elite thinkers have little touch with reality that I can find, can’t agree on definitions to save their lives, and given that he is right (very) and they have not gotten a single non-nuclear war right in more than fifty years is less than re-assuring. I would also note that the times nuclear launch was averted it was not by the elites; rather, good and unpretentious men who saw the data didn’t add up and didn’t act to launch. In fact, of the times of which I am aware, it was the elites (and the politicians they advised) who had pushed things hot.

He’s also absolutely right about war games and war gaming things out. Remember, I wasn’t allowed to be OPFOR because I didn’t play the war game game. I played to win. I played to try to use them to figure out problems and solutions; which is a sin in the eyes of some for whom the games were a way to game pet theories into acceptance and use.

Two other points to make. First, I’ve never been comfortable with a triad. Remove one and it’s no longer stable. You need multiple legs. Second, I have always thought MAD was an abomination to God and to Man. It was and is morally, ethically, socially, and philosophically reprehensible. MAD is countervalue and gives you Philip Wylie and Triumph, or On The Beach. Disgusting concept and we can and should do better.

Sal gives a LOT of good food for thought. I would like to add the following to the mix, however.

First, while not nuclear, we should be looking at adding KEVs to the mix. If we can drop a deep penetrator down air shafts, we can drop a KEV. Which also means we need to consider weapons in space, which is a can of worms but one I think has already been opened. KEVs are flexible and yield can be adjusted via speed. When I say flexible, look at what Jerry Pournelle wrote about Project Thor, which was basically a crowbar with a semi-smart guidance package. Then look at some more recent work. Thing is, a range of options with a lot more flexibility than a nuke is likely to.

Second, we need to be looking at defense. Yes, Trump has announced Golden Dome and I have some hope for it. However, keep in mind that politicians on the left have done everything in their power to stop any and all work on defense against nuclear attack. We need layers and options, and the thing is some of what was done for SDI is still out there and works. The more layers, the better. Also, keep in mind those politicians who pushed for no defense were happy for you to die, though they would likely be secure and safe in their shelters.

Third, we need to look at civil defense options. I don’t think the program of the 50s is needed; but, we do need some civil defense. As I’ve noted before, there are aspects of it that are useful in other situations such as storm, fire, etc. It’s a concept that needs to be explored if we are going to have a serious talk on nuclear reform (including ways to keep the genie in the bottle).

Finally, I do think we also need to consider the need to transfer nukes to safety when portions of Europe fall to the invaders. Along with building a bulkwark in the East as discussed here with related discussion here.

I know some of you have experience and made some good points before in previous posts on nuclear war. Sound off here and there, keeping in mind this is a public forum.

Getting hit by lightning is not fun! If you would like to help me in my recovery efforts, feel free to hit the fundraiser at A New Life on GiveSendGo, use the options in the Tip Jar in the upper right, or drop me a line to discuss other methods. If you want to know some of what it is going for, read here. There is also the Amazon Wish List in the Bard’s Jar. It is thanks to your gifts and prayers that I am still going. Thank you.

Better Than MilSpec

A few days ago, in an author’s forum on an almost deserted corner of anti-social media, a fan posted this.

I pointed out (as has the author, who’s fan group this was posted in, has said many times) that the colonists had better than milspec, and that is part of what made the difference in the American Revolution. The usual group of pedants came forth then (why do you hate potatoes, they had potatoes back then, you didn’t write an encyclopedia entry outlining every possible variant, etc.) and missed two key points. One, I wasn’t out to write an encyclopedia entry (though I have written the firearms sections for a major technology encyclopedia back when there were still such things) but a one line response; and, that the technological superiority extended beyond the obvious.

It’s one of my big problems with the NFA and other “taxes” and open regulations: it limits the ability to innovate and the ability of the average citizen to have not just milspec (which frankly often sucks in base form) but better than milspec. The colonists had rifles as they were accurate and made it a more sure proposition to be able to feed their family. Their muskets could also be rather innovative. If you are not familiar with the term “lock, stock, and barrel” then you are not going to understand how and why the colonists tended to buy the best they could and got delightfully innovative as soon as they could do so.

Fact is, most firearms innovations have come from outside the government. Take a look back around the Revolution, then move forward and while many hoped to make their money selling to the government, the innovations came from outside the government. Even today, that still holds true in my opinion. Note, however, that the government through the ATF and other agencies does all it can to hamper such development and innovation these days.

Me, I don’t want milspec, I want better than milspec. That holds true for firearms, communications gear, and more. I want rugged, dependable, reliable (which, yes, can be different from dependable), and cost effective. Why buy stock when you can often get far better “add ons” and custom for the same cost or less. Milspec is a best a good place to start. It is very easy to make it better in many cases.

Which is why I have a serious question for Elon and the new third party (more on that soon): don’t tell me you support the 2nd amendment and expect me to take you at your word. You’ve said more than once that you believed in regulating and restricting. I want specifics out of you, and in particular I want to know where you stand on repealing the NFA and other “taxes” and open regulations. I want it spelled out in detail.

I also want the NFA and such gone. It’s time to ensure that the Citizens of the Republic not only have milspec, but better than milspec. If you are proud that you have milspec, good on you you’re special. If you have made sure you have better than milspec, whether you admit it or not, you’re my type of people. I don’t care if it’s a better iron sight or using a 2-cent O-ring to improve the water resistance of an electronic device (versus the $2k special container sold to the government), you’ve still improved it and made it better than milspec.

The Revolution wasn’t all rifles versus muskets. It was much more complex and frankly far more rich from a technological standpoint than the pedants will ever truly realize. I think they fail to realize some of the true importance of Saba, but that’s for another day. What matters is that in more than one way the colonists had better than the milspec of the day. It’s what we need today as well. Just a thought.

Getting hit by lightning is not fun! If you would like to help me in my recovery efforts, feel free to hit the fundraiser at A New Life on GiveSendGo, use the options in the Tip Jar in the upper right, or drop me a line to discuss other methods. There is also the Amazon Wish List in the Bard’s Jar. It is thanks to your gifts and prayers that I am still going. Thank you.

Now The Real Danger Begins

The 12-Day-War as it is rapidly becoming known was a masterpiece on the part of Israel. Israel not only quickly owned the skies above Iran, but they put special forces on the ground to join assets already in place to do extensive damage to the regime. Even more importantly, they dominated the psychological battlespace as well. Israel literally owned the regime lock, stock, and barrel.

If even half of what is being whispered in the background is true, it was even more amazing than most realize. I suspect, and even hope, that we don’t know the full extent for years. More on why in a minute. Some of the psyops are out in the open: for example, was Qaani killed in a strike, or an Israeli asset who was gotten out in a special operation and is now in Israel? If he wasn’t killed but is missing, he would be well advised to stay missing as there are those in the regime who are convinced he was an Israeli asset and are acting accordingly. If he was and did get out, hope he’s got great security. The fear and reaction by those convinced he was an asset may well be having all the results the Israeli’s could have hoped for. That appears to be happening for others up and down the chain as well.

The U.S. strike using MOPS appears to have worked very well. Ventilation shafts are a cliche in fiction, and are quick to get readers complaining about suspension of disbelief. Fact is, they often are an Achilles Heel to defenses as few want the cost of doing them right. Lots cheaper just to go straight down, no dog legs, no cofferdams, etc. Take a look at the satellite imagery, and pay particular attention to the subsidence in various locations. There are also signs of a hot and nasty fire. As others have pointed out, if you want to know what burns nicely and hot, take a look at the materials data sheet for uranium hexaflouride (and related compounds). As for the “reporting” saying otherwise I simply note that it comes from CNN (and amplified by the NYT, where the Spirit of Duranty lives!) and a reporter who is known to be a mouthpiece for the swamp portion of the intelligence community. I trust nothing from any of those sources until it has been confirmed by multiple reliable sources.

My only concern is that I think it should have been a 14-day-war. Israel was in the process of destroying the mechanisms that keep the mad mullahs in power. They blew open the doors to Evin prison, which is where many political prisoners were kept. They were destroying the Basij and other units propping up the regime. For all that I don’t think we should be directly involved in regime change, I wish that things had continued long enough to give Iranians a fighting chance at it. Even more importantly that the Shah-in-Exile, I am aware of one (or more) groups within Iran that were working for a successful revolution with all the planning that requires. Revolutions without such planning rarely work (most revolutions ultimately fail, TBH) and a lot of needed groundwork has been laid.

Iran is not a normal state. They are a theocracy contingent upon creating their version of Armageddon so as to bring about the return of the 13th/hidden Imam. That they die in the process is simply a cost of bringing about his return. If you don’t know about this, start reading because it shapes how much they are willing to suffer — and to have the people suffer instead of them. They will cheerfully sacrifice the entire country to this end. Of course, they expect that as the elite they will survive and be rewarded, but if needed are at least willing to give lip service to martyrdom.

Which means that what drives most state leadership does not apply here. They really are not subject to the art of the deal in that regard. Already they have tested Israel directly and via proxies. For Israel, it is no longer Oct. 6, and they have to respond with overwhelming force less they be boiled like a frog. One hopes that the White House is up on this, and realizes where we and they are in that regard. We are the Great Satan, Israel is the Lesser/Small Satan, and they are sworn to destroy us both. We must never forget that.

Now, there are some signs the mad mullahs regime is fracturing and may collapse on its own. Good. Couldn’t happen to a nicer bunch. Again, we should not be directly involved in a regime change; but, we should have no issues taking actions which make such possible so as to eliminate a clear and present danger to the U.S. We stand a much better chance with the Shah and the other group internal who have been planning for a real transition of power and who are well aware of historical precedents (including how unusual the U.S. revolution was to be honest).

As for the sleeper cells in the U.S., I’m honestly surprised we haven’t heard more out of them. Fact is, it’s a given they are here. Now, various raids were recently conducted against some illegal immigrants from Iran, some of who had most interesting pasts. Including one, a sniper, who still had his IRGC ID on him. My advice from previous stands: no definitive intel, but be alert and be prepared. This isn’t over and until the mullahs are gone and the illegal immigrants are removed. After all, the Iranians were only one part of the (at least, IMO) four-plus battalions of military aged males who entered under the Biden regency.

More soon. I’m bouncing back from the exhaustion of Brother Juniper’s and on being tied up on medical and other issues. Meantime, keep your friends and family close, and your things where you can find them in the dark. Be safe and be prepared my friends.

Getting hit by lightning is not fun! If you would like to help me in my recovery efforts, feel free to hit the fundraiser at A New Life on GiveSendGo, use the options in the Tip Jar in the upper right, or drop me a line to discuss other methods. There is also the Amazon Wish List in the Bard’s Jar. It is thanks to your gifts and prayers that I am still going. Thank you.

Iran I

Going to hold off on saying a lot right now, but will say hold on to your hats as there is more to come. Some of it mindblowing. Right now, I want to say two things.

First, great job Israel! Thank you.

Second, to the people of Iran: this is your moment. Make the most of it. If you wait for outside troops and others to free you, you will never be free. The corrupt and rotten regime is teetering and will not be able to freely respond. So, the ball is in your court.

Getting hit by lightning is not fun! If you would like to help me in my recovery efforts, feel free to hit the fundraiser at A New Life on GiveSendGo, use the options in the Tip Jar in the upper right, or drop me a line to discuss other methods. There is also the Amazon Wish List in the Bard’s Jar. It is thanks to your gifts and prayers that I am still going. Thank you.

Quick Aside On Memorial Day

Been trying to decide what to say about part of Memorial Day, as I ended up very disappointed and only half surprised at something that happened. For years now, I’ve bought a beer for ‘the guys’ and never had an issue. In fact, the Oaken Barrel in Greenwood has been glad to host them and one staffer there has even saved all the lists.

This year, I couldn’t get down there so decided to try my luck in downtown Indy. I should have had a clue from the lack of American flags, though there were an abundance of trans/pride flags around. Short version is that no one would host them, and one place even copped some attitude at being asked if they would. That was strike three for them (shame, like a couple of their brews but they have issues that even I can’t ignore).

There is a divide in America and it is getting worse. The true ‘woke’ are doubling down. Increasingly they are turning to violence, and encouraging it. They are turning their backs on civility, and the things that make our Republic, and civilization itself, possible. Back in 2007, people could not do enough for the troops. Today, it’s honor those who gave all on Memorial Day? Are you nuts/right-wing/etc? The most neutral answer I think I got when asking was an admission that all that mattered were the dollars and any space in the place not being used for that was a loss, so no.

Next year, will find a way to get back down to Oaken Barrel if they will host the guys again. And, I will not be spending any of my limited funds at the places that said no.

Getting hit by lightning is not fun! If you would like to help me in my recovery efforts, feel free to hit the fundraiser at A New Life on GiveSendGo, use the options in the Tip Jar in the upper right, or drop me a line to discuss other methods. There is also the Amazon Wish List in the Bard’s Jar. It is thanks to your gifts and prayers that I am still going. Thank you.

Memorial Day 2025

I am hoping to go raise a glass to/with them in just a bit. Meantime, enjoy the day but do take a minute to think about, remember, and pray for those who gave all for this country, from our founding until now. I pray for them all, and I especially remember:

ENS Albert Foster Powers, MIA 1945 Japan
LCPL Bill Stelpflug, Beirut
COL Rick Rescorla, NY 9/11
SPC Ryan Dallam, Iraq
PFC Damian Lopez, Iraq
SPC Marieo Guerrero, Iraq
CPT Anthony Palermo, Iraq
SPC David Behrle, Iraq
SPC Joseph Gilmore, Iraq
PFC Travis Haslip, Iraq
SGT Jean Medlin, Iraq
SSG Christopher Moore, Iraq
PVT Alexander Varela, Iraq
LCPL Jeremy W. Burris, Iraq
SSG Brian Cowdrey, Afghanistan
MAJ Andrew Olmstead, Iraq
CPT Carroll LeFon, CONUS

Thank you Lord that such men lived, and heeded the call to protect and defend. We are all the richer and the better for them and their brothers and sisters who lived the words “No greater love…” You are remembered. You are not forgotten. You are missed. God Bless.

The Gathering Storm

Before I get going on a complex (and possibly convoluted) post, allow me to commend two resources to you. I plan to add them to the recommended box in the upper left here soon.

First, if you have not already heard about her and her work, meet Data republican (small R, profile on X). She has been doing an absolutely amazing job on tracking the money, the networks, and much more behind “the blob” aka the world-wide swamp. Not just content to assist DOGE, she’s dug in and done much, much more. There are a lot important people very unhappy with that, especially since some of her work has shown interesting things: like how many of the judges currently abusing nationwide stays and such have a financial interest in getting money to the NGOs, either directly or through family members. In fact, at least one formal complaint has been filed about failure to acknowledge a major conflict of interest.

Unrelated to today’s post, I also enjoyed her posting of a essay by her pastor on the historical case for Christ. I also want to explore her work that cross-references Bible verses with the Ante-Nicene Fathers. Here’s a link on X to a video showing how to use that tool. In my free time I’m reading those writings in full, and if you haven’t read Clement, St. Justin the Martyr, and others, you truly are missing some good works.

She is a fascinating lady, and my hat is off to her given all the challenges she faced before having so many people go after her for shining a light. Also, her mother has joined X and is a hoot! Her husband supports her and is running a small but growing business that I would love to support via some purchases. That’s a family I would not mind meeting.

Second, if you are not already familiar with Mike Benz, currently of the Foundation For Freedom Online and the self-described monstrosity Weapons of Mass Deletion. His work on the origin of Soros is worth the time to watch (X link to videeo) and read. In fact, if you want what I call the recent-past backgrounds on several things underway, you need to check into his work. I note recent past as he is covering a lot of things that have developed over the last decade or two, with a few going back further.

Keep in mind, a lot of what we are dealing with — particularly in terms of our current (so-called) “elite” government with all the best people — truly got started under that loathsome creature Wilson. In fact, much of what has turned into “sex inc.” started to step into the light about that time. Those efforts set the stage for what came in the mid- to late-1940s when it truly went public with things like the Kinsey Institute, and began the normalization process underway today. To me, right now, it appears that those initial efforts predated (spit) Gramsci, who both took advantage of them and may well have been taken advantage of by those behind them.

The history of sex and sexuality I will leave for later. History is fascinating, enlightening, and sometimes something that will make you sick to your stomach. I will say that I am thankful for Christianity as it put a stop to a number of things that today we find extremely horrific. Which is why I think so many in power hate it, but that’s also a post for another day.

Now, back to the gathering storm. I want to thank both Data republican and Mike Benz as they did a lot of hard work, and provided the data and analysis that is helping me sort out some of the patterns in the data. I think they are now tag-teaming the National Endowment for Democracy (NED) and its many tentacles. That is truly one to watch as it ties Soros and more into what’s going on in the U.S.

Before I forget, always remember that even when the data lies (i.e. most corporate media reports), the patterns in and around that data rarely do. The patterns matter, and I find it interesting that even with bad data included, the patterns seem to flow around it for those looking. Just something to keep in mind as you look at things yourself.

If you look at what Data republican and Mike have put together, it’s drawing the lines between points many never knew existed. It’s documenting the incestuous relationship between progressives, the NGOs, and others in what I’ve taken to calling The Fraternity. That’s the families (dynasties) that have been involved with modern governance since Wilson, and especially after FDR. Note how they intermarry and act much as royalty did (and still does).

The interesting thing about their work is that a lot of points (and people) most had no idea were a part of things have been exposed. I suggest you download the data where you can, as if efforts aren’t made to take it out I will be surprised. Side note, I’m glad both have security. Cockroaches do NOT appreciate having a light shone on them and their activities.

While much of that work involves people in the United States (and it is worth noting how much of the money to NGOs to help others elsewhere stayed right here in the U.S.), there is a fair bit on Europe as well. In fact, you there appears to be a good bit on Klaus Schwab and the other members of SPECTRE, er, the World Economic Forum rather. It is quite a web.

Thing is, you need to have at least a general idea of that web for some of my analysis to make sense. It provides background and also allows some potential future to be examined with more accuracy. It’s also important because it helps you to understand certain things happening now, and that are probable in the near future.

The group that has in many respects run most of the world since Wilson is like any other group that has come to power. We had the founders, who took the lead and built up the system; the first generation after who maintained and pushed the narrative of that the system was the best, enlightened, and proper for society and the world; and, the generations that followed who don’t truly understand history (especially their own) and incapable of restraint or self-sacrifice. It’s a story old as time and many a dynasty has seen it.

The current generation of the so-called elites, unlike previous generations, has no fallback. They really were bred and raised to fill certain slots in the machine, and are now facing a question most of us outside that fraternity have faced at one time or another: now what. Our job has gone away, outsourced to a mortal enemy (China, etc.), eliminated for a .ooo5 cent increase in profit, changes in the market, etc. Most of us have picked up and found something else to do, may have even had some training in that before. Most of the current elite do not have any marketable skills outside their current jobs. Many of which are going away with the cutting off of the NGO and related spigots.

It’s no wonder that the mommies and daddies of The Fraternity who are judges are so busy tying Article III into pretzels in an effort to stop the Executive (Article II powers), even though they are acting outside of the Constitution. And, yes, a good case can be made for that. As I noted here, Roberts is all-in on expanding the power of the Courts, and I’m not sure he would reign in the lower courts even if the rest of the Justices held guns to his head. And, yes, it would be extra-Constitutional to expand said powers — but have you looked at how much current government power is de facto and not de jure?

Also, again, it is well worth noting the number of judges involved in these cases that have ties via family to the NGOs and other things being defunded. Start taking names and plug them into the various searches and databases. Very interesting, as Arte would say.

No dynasty wants to see it’s time end. The current dynasty is no different. It wants and needs to be seen as the natural leaders of the world, of civilization, and of all that is right and good. Their forefathers knew that you had to throw a bone to the peasants (and make no mistake, that is how pretty much all of them see us), while most of this generation just want to bone the peasants. Literally even.

So, what’s going on in the courts right now is a fight to stay in power. It’s but one part of the efforts, and I suspect we may see an active riot season this year. George Floyd served them well, such that the last few riot seasons have not been active. I expect that to change this year, and this post (and related) are but one indicator of that. There are a lot of such indicators and individually they don’t mean much. Put them together and you get a picture of groups trying to mobilize: and to normalize violence against political enemies. Look around (anti-) social media and see how much is out there.

Then look at Europe and what is going on there. Germany has done many interesting things, including trying to outlaw the populist party AfD. Romania abrogated its elections because the wrong candidate won. France tried to do to LePen what was done here to Trump. The EU is striking out at member states who won’t fall into line in many ways and on several levels.

And it’s not working. The people are not taking it. In Ireland, there’s been more than a month of protests at what it’s government is doing. France saw a huge pushback against the government (which has refused to acknowledge that a new government was elected) that has them rocked back a bit. Italy, Hungary, and others are defying the EU on several fronts. In fact, look up who Meloni just endorsed in the new Romanian presidential election. That is a finger to the EU…

Now, the next layer on top of this involves the mass migrations underway. Leaving all else aside, look at how many countries have agreed, or been forced, to accept huge numbers of military-aged Islamic males into their borders. Look at how they, and those that came before the latest, are pushing for Sharia and demanding upon violence that their will be done. The imams that have popped up with them are openly saying that they intend to take over, that they will take power by any means. I want you to look up those speeches to be sure you believe it, for you should believe what they say. It’s being tried here too, right now, and yes you should consider within that equation the battalion or so of military-aged Islamic males that came across our southern border under the Biden Regency.

Reminder: Migration, and mass movement of refugees involves men, women, and children. The mass movement of military-aged males is, and always has been, an invasion. Invasions are hostile things, and should be treated accordingly.

Now, there are several reasons for encouraging mass invasion by The Fraternity and related. SPECTRE, er, I mean the World Economic Forum types have several, and keeping the peasants in line and the gravy train going figures large among them. At this point, the reasons are in many ways irrelevant as circumstances have caught up and passed the original plans.

Now, two other parts to consider are Russia and China. I’ve talked about Russia, Russkiy Mir, and the horrible demographics for a while now. Russia is desperate to not just regain the empire it had, but to bring in new areas. They have to as they (Rus) really are a minority in their own country, and they have in many respects a negative birth rate. Their economy blows, and I’ve outlined some of the many manufacturing and other problems they have. What surprises many is that China has some huge economic problems that are frantically being papered over. They also have demographic and other problems, and right now they stay afloat and a threat mainly because it is far cheaper to keep buying and/or blackmailing foreign politicians than it is to bite the bullet and fix the causes of the problems. Xi, like Putin, can’t afford to admit to the core problems as to do so ends their runs.

Finally, let’s not forget Iran, Pakistan, and India. I’m beyond glad that things got shut down fast in the latest between the latter. No, it’s not all good now, as there is a long history there that isn’t going to magically go away. No more than the issues between Indian and China (and the low-level war underway there) are going to go away. Iran is well on the way to the bomb, if they don’t have it already. If you missed it, I mentioned a seismic event in Iran in this post, and while I am trying to get more data on it, it is indeed worrying, especially when you look at some officially non-related things going on. Keep in mind that Iran is a powder keg and close to going up. As with The Fraternity, Putin, Xi, and others, they see the clock ticking and will do anything to stay in power.

There is more, but those are the major chunk of the background for my current thoughts. Right now, I see the gathering storm as being in three phases.

First phase is pretty much The Blob Strikes Back. The Fraternity and related are not going to go quietly. Expect an energetic riot season here and abroad. Also, even if they lose in the courts, they may win in that right now Roberts and the judges are shredding the stature of the Court. The public already sees that there is a two-tier (or more) system of justice, and that the current Court and courts are acting well outside the “norms” of which we are used to. The Republic, and the greater society represented in the Social Compact, depend on voluntary compliance and to some degree illusion. Erode that trust, strip away the illusion, and things fail. We need all three legs, and we need them at full strength.

Now, I will say here that even if The Blob wins, I think it will be temporary. I think that forces are in play historically that will bring them down again and hard. Problem is, if that happens, I think it could be hard enough to put us below the level of maintaining our current civilization. We are already on the path of a birthrate such that it can’t be sustained. It’s one of several reasons I would love to see Elon succeed and get us off this mudball. See this for some further discussions on that topic.

That said, I’m also worried about the more than three battalions of military-aged males that came over our southern border. In addition to the Islamics already mentioned, it seems that one of those battalions was of military aged males from Syria, Chechnyia, and other interesting places, all of which do not wish us well. I suggest you read Kurt Schlicter’s book The Attack. No, I get nothing from the link, I depend on your gifts as I want you to know that if I endorse a product, it’s not because I get paid to do so. Now, the first group I mentioned is part of a take-over effort. What this group can do is not just terror, but infrastructure attacks in support of outside powers as well as possibly The Blob/The Fraternity.

Oh, and that third battalion? Have you looked at how many military-aged Chinese men came across? Some of them very fit and of military bearing? What do you think could happen if we get tangled up with China? Keep it in mind.

So, energetic riot season with the possibility of some extra severe events is a possibility. Also, don’t forget the amazing amount of anger out there among the public. While they are often disparaged as “normies” they are well aware of what is going on, and in that our so-called leaders are not leading. In fact, they are getting even more angry as they watch Congress fritter away what they gave them via the vote in Uniparty Games (which may be like one version of reindeer games). Also, the current “Game of Lies” by corporate media is not helping. The public saw the decline of Biden and recognized the Regency, of which corporate media was a willing part. To claim now they were deceived is getting reactions such that “pull the other one” is one of the more polite.

Now, the progressives view violence (like riot season) as a rheostat, that can be dialed up or down at need. Lenin used it well, and it’s been used very effectively here since the 60s. Problem is, most others view it as a binary switch. The cute games being played with calling for the assassination of Trump via semi-deniable routes like “86” is not going over well with a majority of the public. If anything does happen, it will no longer be riot season and what happens will not be pretty. I really do wish certain people and groups would get that and not try to force us to slide down the razor blade of life into a shark tank. We do NOT want to go there, no matter what grifters on all sides push.

Second phase is a different form of societal spasm or collapse. It is demographics and Islam. Many imams are quite open about outbreeding and seizing power that way, even if quieter about the use of violence towards that end. In Europe, if you look at the demographics and the “flexibility” given to various Islamic populations, Germany, France, England, and Spain are pretty much gone. In England, Labor and other governments cheerfully traded their girl children (and some boys) to them for votes and political power, never realizing that the Islamics were playing a longer game. Similar situation in Germany, though not as open. France is a little different in background, but not in outcome. If there is a way to deal with this peacefully, I think the window is well on the way closed if not already closed. I don’t see any way for any of them to deal with it without the use of force. And, I don’t see any of those governments having the will to do so.

However, I agree with something Tom Kratman said a while back about the people of France. If their government won’t do it’s job, the people may do so. In fact, I think he mentioned the bloody practicality of the French people, and if they do move to deal with the problem (and there are signs of that level of unrest if you are paying attention), it will not be pretty. In fact, given the thoughts of the public about Macaroon and company going after LePen, some of the politicians might just want to hope they stop with dealing with the Islamic problem. That one could get very interesting. By the way, if you haven’t read Col. Kratman’s book Caliphate, it is a good read in this context.

I see Italy having a chance thanks to Meloni. She’s doing what she can on immigration and is trying to deal with the various problems caused by the EU. The leadership of the EU, of course, does not care for her and her recent endorsement of Simion in Romania is a finger in their eye as noted earlier.

Part of what went into my post on what I suggest replace NATO with is that I see Italy, Romania, Serbia, possibly Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, and the Baltics as an eastern rampart to hold the line against the new Islamic republics in Germany, England, etc. They are defying the EU on “migration” and holding fast borders. I also think they may be the best hope for keeping Western Civilization alive in Europe. Post for another day, but it is a factor in my thinking here. For those interested in my thoughts on NATO, see here and here. Oh, and for saying that I am not a serious person for suggesting we leave NATO or consider nuclear Eastern Europe? I wear that as a badge of honor, and will be glad to let history show who got more things right in the prediction game.

Now, do I see such happening here? Yes. In fact the outbreed and take over slowly is well underway. Just look at the city attempt down in Texas. Don’t forget all the military-aged Islamics who came over the border. I don’t think the normal violence will work (in fact, think it will backfire rather spectacularly long run), but it doesn’t mean they won’t try it. Also, our own reproduction demographics are not good, despite all of Elon’s efforts to personally make up for it. We need to change that, seriously.

Third phase of potential storm relies on countries like Russia, China, Iran, etc. As long as we have the current administration, I think Xi will hold off on Taiwan and such. He’s desperate, but the long game offers good odds to him. I think China will not survive a war, even though they are likely to destroy current U.S. forces in the region. Economically and otherwise I don’t think they can sustain the current system and situation through a war. There are a lot of fractures within the current system, and they could either push Xi into foolishness or he may can hold them together long enough for them to become someone else’s problem. Time for a Reagan-style push I think.

Iran has plans, but no longer have their patsy in the form of the Biden Regency. They are very well aware that if they push, Trump will push back. The last time they pushed, a certain Mr. Soleimani got to go meet his 72 Virginians. If The Fraternity manages to make a comeback, this could change. Which is why we need to end their efforts to become a nuclear power. I would prefer a mostly peaceful way, but if necessary the facilities need to be taken out hard. Also, the Biden Regency turned its back on some opportunities to help the people of Iran. I hope the current administration would support any such opportunities that came their way.

As for Russia, see my previous writings on same. That is a complex topic and I think efforts to bring about peace between Russia and Ukraine are needed and important. The key will be ensuring security for Ukraine, as doing so tends to trigger Russia. Keep in mind that as a reader pointed out a while back, they are not the eastern-most part of the West, but rather the Western-most part of the East. They have a different history and perceptions, and frankly plans. Those need to be taken into account. So far, again, the current administration has respect in Moscow and I hope that this can be leveraged to the good of all.

There may well be a storm or storms. Thing is, if you look at the data and the patterns, and operate on a realistic basis, you can avoid them or minimize the damage they can do. The storms will gather, but with good leadership and individual preparation, much can be avoided. For the former, start local and build upwards. I think we got lucky in the last election, but good leadership needs good support, and that is sorely lacking. I still say Vladimir will not nuke DC and surroundings as he wants to hurt us, not help us. Build the leadership and lets get back to a solid, small-government Republic. Don’t fall for all the games and grifters — be of good cheer, good faith, and solid actions.

As always, keep your friends and family close, and your things where you can find them in the dark. Prepare for the worst, hope for the best, and take what comes. Have Faith. And hang in there, as there is a lot more light out there right now than darkness.

Getting hit by lightning is not fun! If you would like to help me in my recovery efforts, feel free to hit the fundraiser at A New Life on GiveSendGo, use the options in the Tip Jar in the upper right, or drop me a line to discuss other methods. There is also the Amazon Wish List in the Bard’s Jar. It is thanks to your gifts and prayers that I am still going. Thank you.