Today, I want to look at some topics a bit beyond those in Preparedness Pays, relating to finances and non-normal disasters. The catalyst for this comes from a Substack article that looks at the fall of civilization but not government, and what that might entail. A fascinating and scary topic, that should be a concern given current events.
Between it and some other events, it also reminded me of a key scene early in Alas Babylon where a character commits suicide after realizing that all currency was now nothing more than paper. Nuclear war is not the only way such can happen, as all it requires is a large-scale (or even mid-scale in some cases) failure of the government or the improper imposition of continuity of government to provide the failure cascade that disrupts the true basic functions of government (public safety, currency, mail, etc.).
As I pointed out in my response to the very good commentary from A. Nonymous in response to my section on finances for Preparedness Pays, I have to walk a bit of a tightrope with the book. First, it’s a 101-level book that has two purposes: to help people learn how to prepare and to make it a part of their lives. It does this by changing from looking at the infinity-minus-one number of potential disasters to the five things that can happen, and to how being prepared for “everyday” or “normal” disasters saves time, money, and stress.
There is, unfortunately, a mindset out there that any form of preparation, practical or otherwise, is the domain of mentally unstable and unserious people. This has been encouraged by corporate news and entertainment media, among others. One good example of it was showcased by a local talk radio host who said on air that if someone was talking preparedness and pretty much said anything beyond typical natural disasters they shut them out, would not share, promote, or discuss it/them on his show or in social media. One of the things I hope to do with Preparedness Pays is to not just get around such close-mindedness, but to start changing what I consider to be a very harmful mindset.
Thus, the very short chapter on finances is very basic, straightforward, and notes repeatedly to get expert advice. I did mention precious metals and may have to tweak that a bit as I used to have a few gold coins, including some tenth ounce coins as well as some silver coins. Reason being not everything would be worth a gold or silver dollar/ounce.
The key to keep in mind is that large-scale events with have large-scale implications, and not everyone will be able to keep up with the changes. Just look at the banker in Alas Babylon, who didn’t consider the implications of what was happening and tried to keep it as business as usual until he couldn’t. You will be a LOT better off if you do study some history and consider the implications.
Given the fragility of both our power grid and the government financial systems, in a large-scale event, I’m going to use my debit or other cards for as long as I can to gather food and items. If they are already down, I will use cash if I find someone willing to exchange things or a service (get me out of here right now and I’ll give you $X) for cash. Cash is only good if the government can back it and if the other countries of the world will accept it. As such, until one or both conditions are met, I will try to have cash on hand.
Historically, precious metals and jewels have made for a good means to carry wealth with you. They can provide a good hedge against inflation or even the results of a depression. They hold value even amidst regional conflicts, and held up pretty well during the two world wars. You can also hide a pretty large amount on the average person via creative tailoring. For example, one reason that mercy shots were needed for the Czar’s family when the Reds murdered them is that the various corsets, vests, and such were full of jewels and jewelry, which acted as a makeshift bulletproof vest. The idea was that if they could escape or be rescued, the jewels could be sold to fund them, bribe as necessary, etc.
This will work, provided there are some islands of stability that will value and give fair value for those items. It also requires safety for all involved. In the case of the Russian revolution, the rest of the world provided that stability. In the face of a massive natural disaster (Welcome Sweet Meteor of Death!) or a global economic or societal crash, that may not hold true as A. Nonymous noted.
Also, given the linked article, keep in mind that if you are having to do either an overt or covert bugout, you need to be able to hide your valuables on you, in you, and around you. A major disaster can and does bring out the best in some people. In others, not so much. There will be people out to rob you, do bad things to you, etc. and some of them may be from the government confiscating for the greater good. Hate to say it, but you need to plan for that.
Quick side note, the linked article above also has some good play on what was talked about in an earlier chapter of Preparedness Pays. Have as many means of travel as possible for your bugout. The use of waterways is a great amplification and can be a good way to think outside the box and get around literal and figurative roadblocks.
When you look at history, a number of interesting things have become currency. Food, drink, spices — all have been used as currency along with precious metals and other valuable items. Or at least valuable in the eyes of the local population. In the event of a large-scale event, such probably will again.
It’s a good reason to look at the foods we take for granted that are almost entirely shipped in from overseas. Coffee, tea, pepper, cocoa/chocolate, and other spices are just a few of them. Good things to have on hand, and not just because I’m a caffeine addict and minor foodie. Individual salt and pepper packets are cheap in bulk, and provide portion control as well as trade goods. Buy bulk and portion down and you have trade goods to exchange for other goods and services.
Then think about the goods that will be needed for doing things by hand: needles, thread, specialty needles, hand tools, nails, screws, and other things we take for granted will just be there when needed. In the event of a large-scale, things like needles and thimbles will be worth their weight in platinum, not just gold. Fishing line, hooks, lures, and related are also things well worth keeping tucked away. Lot of these things are now made overseas, and that is problematic on more than one level.
On a higher level, industrial diamonds, cutting tools for manufacturing, along with some other high-value low-volume items could also be a sound investment in some circumstances. Any area, country, or region looking to get back on it’s feet will be looking for the tools and materials needed to make that happen.
You can’t do everything, but you can prepare for a good bit and on the inexpensive if not the cheap. Thing is, for a number of mid- to large-scale events, don’t count on currency or even current valuables. At least for a short time, you are going to be seeing a trade economy and it is always a good idea to have goods or services you can use for barter. After all, if you have a truly useful skill, or goods to barter, someone might just let you into the Ark.
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“ There is, unfortunately, a mindset out there that any form of preparation, practical or otherwise, is the domain of mentally unstable and unserious people.”
I have it on fairly good authority that the show “Doomsday Preppers” was greenlit on the presumption that it would be a short run, relatively small audience “look at these weirdos, point and laugh” show, so the powers-that-be were pretty much shocked when it became both popular and a “look at what these people are doing and take lots of notes” show, and across a much more extensive demographic than they ever expected.
The cocoons of NY and Hollywood are completely unaware of how cocooned they are from reality, and how isolated they are from the concerns of normal people.
True! Really would like to find a good counter for the anti-humanitarian concept that preparedness is wrong.
I apologize for any confusion; communication and interpersonal relations is not necessarily my strong suit. I *think* you know I was aiming to add more detail for your community rather than to critique your draft, but I can never be certain exactly how I come off to others in writing (or speaking, for that matter).
I had seen that substack article as well; rather depressing, but likely accurate. It gives me no pleasure and much consternation to agree with Anarchonomicon, as the solutions he points to as being the most successful are also the least palatable to Christians or those who favor a civilization based in equal rights before fair laws. In the event that the worst occurs, how does one square the desire to live a decent life with the desire to still be forgiven for one’s sins at the end of it? Is it absolutely necessary to walk into the Colosseum and offer oneself up unto the lions, knowing that the nobles and the Emperor will “get away with it” in *this* world? Are there alternatives, or would those alternatives lead one so far astray that you never have any desire to return to the path? The Founders seemed to struggle with this at times, but they at least had a foundation of hundreds of years of a civilization moving slowly in the direction of respecting “Natural Laws” and individual rights. Contrast with the French Revolution and its aftermath, where such things were respected more in the breach than not. So… what is one to do? What is just and *right* to do? I have no good answers, and struggle with the question whenever I ask it of myself.
FM: I have heard similar things as well, and drew the logical conclusions upon watching a couple episodes and how buffoonish the producers attempted to portray their “victims” as. Any form of long-term prepping should look much more like old-school homesteading; not sexy, extremely demanding, and full of hard work. And, as Anarchonomicon points out, looking like a Kulak in a crisis is just like walking through a bad neighborhood displaying casual wealth and a lack of situational awareness. Volunteering your story to those who will not just mock it, but make your story known to potentially millions of other people who may use the information as they wish, does not appear to be an example of good judgment (and yet, how *are* you to spread useful information to others in the hopes of preserving lives and freedoms and a civilization that might respect them?).
A.Nonymous: I did note the tone of treatment, especially in the edit, moderated a bit as the show went on.
To your “volunteer for mockery” question, no doubt the line producers played it straight, as is fairly common practice in the “unscripted” world, giving no hints how they were going to cut their footage and interviews together. But my main question about this show was always “Who would expend all these resources and do all this work, keeping a pretty low profile while preparing for bad times, only to expose all of it to potentially millions by letting this show video everything you have in excruciating detail?”
I sincerely doubt they got a inordinately large amount of money for appearing.
There is a degree of pride in accomplishment which for some cannot be satisfied while maintaining a low profile, but I mean, really…
No worries, and yes I did get that. It’s one reason I emphasized what a good comment it was. Part of my response was to be sure people knew why I wasn’t getting into that in this book, and to see if anyone had any good ideas on how to deal with that particular bit of non-thought/anti-preparation sentiment. Also, good points on the question(s) of what is good, right, and just. It is a struggle, and I’m really worried we may all face a practical test on such soon. Thank you for all the good points you raise on many posts! I do appreciate them and you. Sorry for the delay, it has been interesting with docs and others getting ready for the next surgery.