The Laughing Wolf – Commentary, Punditry, and More

Happy Thanksgiving!

It is indeed a good day to give thanks, and to enjoy the bounty that fills all our lives. It is an abundance that extends well beyond tasty treats and a full larder for the winter. It is an abundance of good things, from the Giver of Good Things, who showers us with Grace and more.

In my life, there is much for which to give thanks. This last year saw me facing a number of challenges, from mobility to the possibility of more heart surgery. A lack of care in the hospital after my last shoulder replacement taught me new meanings for the word pain and set back my recovery. Note, this was not the doctor’s fault, but rather the conscious choice of one nurse and one technician who stopped all pain medicine and the ice bath cooler for several hours. Not fun. Finances were/are a challenge, transportation became an issue, and there was a need to follow-up on the neuro side of things as well.

I could list much more doom and gloom, but that’s not my way as despite what some may think (*G*), I really don’t share a whole lot of that type of thing. Frankly, it’s boring, it’s private, and it’s not what is important. The focus of life is not the challenges, it is the response to the challenges. Our challenges do not define us; rather, it is our response to them that defines us for who we truly are in life. We can be victim, or we can be a victor. The choice is ours. Bad things sucketh mightier than a 10(-16) torr vacuum. They hurt, literally and figuratively. But, they do not have to define us. Complex topic, maybe more on that later.

Instead, I look at all the ways the bad got stood on its head over this last year. It was about this time last year (bit before) that three different searches pointed me towards my new Church home. I started attending, was made welcome, and at Pascha I was baptized into said Church. Funny thing about that. I almost fell into the baptismal pool because of mobility issues. I haven’t needed my walking stick/cane since.

Not long after that, I finally got the cardiac review I wanted with the cardiologist I really wanted. He ordered some much needed testing, and we both were less than optimistic about a few things. We were both surprised. While I can still screw it up and there are still some issues, the heart muscle itself is 100 percent healed. Other things that have long been problems have started healing as well. Not going to go into all of them, but they include some things that have been an issue since early childhood. Do I still have ailments and infirmities? You bet. But the important stuff is healing or healed.

We are now into a long-overdue neuro review as well, with a neurologist recommended by my new cardiologist. Still one block of testing to go, but the MRI showed that I do have a brain (and not just an empty space with an elderly hamster and a broken exercise wheel in the center), and that there are no tumors, lesions, fractures, or other major issues. Very similar to the MRI I had a couple of months after the lightning strike, but reassuring that things are stable on a physical level for now. The block of testing yet to be done will help define/refine the long- and short-term memory issues and give a better idea about the future. While driving may be an issue, it looks good for me remaining independent and cranky for now.

There are some vertigo issues and the testing yesterday did not take place as scheduled. Working with the ENT doc on that, hearing, and other. Yesterday’s testing had to be cancelled after I had fasted and was at the office as only one person for that operation showed up (the tester) and they left. No one on the other side of the Balance Point/Whisper Hearing Center in Greenwood could access or operate the BP systems. Not impressed at the highly unprofessional operation. That said, we will get the testing done one way or another. I’m thankful we are getting data and making progress, even if annoyed at wasting most of a day. It did lead, however, to having a good time and being introduced to the movie “Christmas with the Kranks” (?) at a decompression stop and my thanks to K for making me laugh.

One thing coming out of all of the various medical tests and such is highlighting the difference between what I want, and what I need. I want to move out West. I want to be rural, to homestead as much as I can, and be that cranky independent old codger that makes people shake their head and laugh. As I’ve noted here before, it appears that I need to be around people more (and perhaps even date!) and moving out West will have to go on hold for at least a year, if not more. My insurance won’t transfer, and while there are rumors my Disability application has finally been approved after three years of effort, things are not yet finalized. Also, while there may be another change or two, my critical doctor team is not something I want to lose. I really like the new cardiologist, have a good to great GP, and am gaining respect for the neurologist. Not something I can just toss aside right now. Today, and every day, I do give thanks for them.

I’m also thankful for my continued growth in Faith and in my Church. I’ve been attending a class or two, have become a Chanter, and there is talk of a bit more as I continue to grow. Being involved with the music there, and the guitar lessons (on hold for right now), has been wonderful (amazing even) therapy for me. One of the weirder things after the lightning strike was having to learn to read music again and how to sing again. I’m slowly finding my voice and getting back into things, and the music seems to be dragging some other things with it. I am thankful for those helping me, including the Church music director and my guitar teacher, both of whom think it is good therapy and more.

Which brings me to one of the most important things for which I give thanks today: YOU! Over these last three years you have encouraged me, offered advice and suggestions, supported me with your gifts and prayers, and encouraged my writing here. Writing here has helped me keep my mind going and to work through cognitive and other challenges. Your gifts and prayers have let me get the guitar and lessons, take care of challenges, have food on the table, and so much more. Thank you.

Updating as I completely left out a paragraph. This year also saw me get into sourdough baking, courtesy of Mrs. Gruel and my new friend Snarksalot! Snarksalot has also gotten me into making mustard, ketchup, and more. The cooking side of the year has been fun, tasty, and opened doors up on several levels. Thank you to Snarksalot and all who pushed that.

Several of you donated recently and I wanted you to know what has been going on with that. Because of your help I was able to restock some much needed supplements. I also not only got some needed new clothes, I was able to take some others in for needed minor repairs. I’ve been able to take my good winter (fur) hat in for cleaning and inspection (probably should have done that years ago). With luck, I may be picking it up tomorrow or Saturday. I was also able to get a propane camping stove for emergency or other use (aren’t early sales wonderful!), and tested it by using it to make a dish I’m taking to the Thanksgiving Dinner I’ve been invited to. Got an odd feeling about this winter, so trying to be sure I’m set for anything. I also picked up food and other supplies. For all of this, I am very thankful. Amazing how far you can make things stretch if you repair and research/shop before buying.

While I may not be able to move out West for now, it appears I will be needing to move here in the next month or so. I’m really wanting to wait until the neuro is finished and I know what, if any, limitations are in place (driving or other). However, that may not be possible as my landlord has done some strange things. I’m thankful that things haven’t gotten too bad (or our of control) and that I do still have a roof over my head.

Oh, on the driving. Nothing major, but it has been noted that I am uncomfortable driving in Indianapolis. No Duh! The drivers in Baghdad were better than most here, and there (at least when I was there) you could return fire heavy if they shot at you – and that’s getting to be a real big issue here. I’m thankful I haven’t had to deal with it much of late.

There is more, of course, for which I am thankful. However, I want you to know that YOU are something for which I am very, very thankful. The great comments, good discussions in the comments, and things that spark well-read posts are a delight and much appreciated. Your suggestions and advice (including on the joint replacement) have been a huge help. Your gifts and prayers have helped keep me going.

Thank you. Back to normal posting soon I hope. Meantime, may your day be bright with joy, love and abundance. May the bounty of this world fill your life, and may the Light shine on you and yours. God Bless!

IRBM Redux

So Vladimir decided to raise the stakes in his ongoing series of threats to go nuclear. What he did was smart on several levels, and incredibly stupid on several more. Let’s take a minute to look at this with a calm if jaundiced eye.

Almost immediately upon starting his “three-day-war” against Ukraine, Vladimir has been threatening to go nuclear. It was a way to try to keep the West (primarily but not exclusively NATO) out of the fray and to discourage any and all help for Ukraine. Frankly, I can’t blame him.

Let’s face it: that is the only threat he has. Even in the massive information bubble in which he and other top leaders (and not just in Russia — look to the last election for great examples here) reside. He is in a silo in a bubble in which bad news, much less reality, rarely enters. For all that, I suspect that he had to know just how much of a paper bear the Russian military had become.

Oh yes, they have all these massive stockpiles of tanks, guns, artillery, etc. Pretty much all of which have rusted to the point it is cheaper and much easier to make new ones than to try to repair/refurbish the rusted hulks. Never mind that many of those items allegedly stockpiled either never existed (corruption) or had been stolen/sold (desperation/survival, plus corruption). If you haven’t been reading my stuff before, I and others have pointed out that many items, including very sensitive systems, had been sold on the black so that troops and workers could eat and survive within an extremely corrupt system.

I’ve also written before about how Vladimir is much like a necromancer in fiction: once the snake has been tossed on the table, you can’t just let things slide. To give in to nuclear blackmail is to ensure worse for the future and our children. It has to be dealt with, firmly, or others will take up the staff as well. Our problem has been the feckless and incompetent Biden Regency, which is Obama III. Keep in mind it was Obama who abrogated our responsibilities to Ukraine under the Budapest Memorandum when Vladimir decided to take Crimea.

Yet, Vladimir continues to raise nuclear as an option because he has nothing else. He can’t mobilize the manpower numbers needed, and of those who have been brought in (forced in even) are untrained, ill-led, and ill-equiped. There is no realistic way for him to mobilize even a fraction of the numbers needed for full combat, and if he tries the economy crashes hard given how many critical positions are already unfilled. Train drivers (-2,500) are just the tip of that iceberg. Never mind that well over a million of the ‘best and brightest’ of the younger generations decided to go expat over the invasion. Brain drain is a real and dangerous thing. The only way he is getting the arms he needs to any degree is by purchasing (one way or another) from other countries and manning by using foreign troops (hello Kim!).

Now, here’s the problem for him: are the strategic forces in any better shape than any other part of the Russian military (or space program for that matter)? Lots of little things have popped up over the last couple of years. Also, a few larger ones. When Biden visited Ukraine a while back, it appears that Vladimir tried to stage a test launch of a Sarmat/Satan II ICBM as a show of force and threat. That didn’t happen, and it appears it may have been rather spectacular at the launch site. Also, keep in mind the corruption that still plagues the regular military was also part-and-parcel of the strategic forces as well. Of all the parts, systems, weapons delivered, how many were real? Also keep in mind that Sarmat was supposed to have replaced all other ICBMS as much as ten years ago. Hasn’t happened. There are reasons for that.

Which brings us to the recent IRBM launch. Here’s a decent article on the system itself. For those looking at pedigree, Oreshnik derives from Rubezh, which derives from Yars, which in turn dervies from the Topol if I remember correctly (Topol minus a stage I think). Keep in mind, that the USSR was always good at ‘one-offs’ in terms of development. They could, would, and did come up with ‘showcase’ projects that were (esp. given tech limitations) quite impressive in their own way. Where they flat out suck has always been in production. I suspect that is a large part of what is happening with the Sarmat. It’s happened on other military systems before, and it’s worth remembering that on the civilian side so-called ‘identical’ Soyuz and other space vehicles could not exchange parts because each was essentially a custom build.

The only thing they ever seem to have been able to mass produce reliably that had any complexity (cough) was the AK. They even had to sub out mines and more to the satellite countries. Heck, some of the best AKs came from the satellite countries to be honest.

For me, I am very interested in the Re-entry Vehicles and the reported sub-munitions. Especially given the reported Mach 11 speeds on terminal.

Regular RVs tend not to be very accurate by modern standards, having at best about a fify-foot CEP. To be honest, Soviet CEP sucked and at one point was up to ten miles. They improved that, but to make up for ongoing issues used much larger warheads. Here, the use of sub-munitions seems to imply either an intended conventional use or that multiple weapons may be needed to make up for other shortcomings. Could be off on that, but it was the first thing that popped into my mind. The other thing that did pop up after that was deploying multiple weapons to take out an extended column (or fortifications) in a gap or line.

It is also rather unprecedented to give the world (and your enemies) this good a look at the operations of a system allegedly in development. Not to mention the chance to recover pieces/fragments/chunks for analysis. Yep, some have already been found and I guarantee the tech intel types are salivating at the chance to examine them.

And speaking of stupid-on-steroids, threatening a U.S. base on another country’s soil isn’t bright. That’s not something that can be ignored (at least by competent people, which seem to be in short supply under the Biden Regency). It sets the stage for guaranteed escalation of force if anything does fly towards, or worse yet hit, that base. Given the apparent parlous state of Russia’s strategic and conventional forces (and our own, sadly), that’s really not a place you want to go. Especially given that a new administration is inbound.

Which brings up some very non-technical considerations. Trump was NOT Vladimir’s choice by any means. Vladimir was quite open and serious about supporting the H/W ticket because he saw them both as easily manipulated idiots in the service of Obama around whom he has run rings for years. Same for the Hildebeast and several others. Also, wonder what his good buddy (with the knife at his back) Xi may have said about the governor…

If Vladimir wants to cement what gains he has, and set the stage for another attack later, he needs to do it under the current Regency. And he needs to do it quick. What could make things move faster than a nuclear threat? Also, don’t forget that in all the ways that matter, Vladimir is already at war with much of the West. So far it’s been mostly low-level stuff, like this reported at Legal Insurrection (if you aren’t reading LI and esp. Leslie’s science reporting, you are missing out). The sabotage is more than troubling as it has a greater chance of escalation than nuclear sabre rattling.

Under most circumstances, I would say that the chances of things going nuclear under Vladimir were under ten percent. For all that he may be many things, I generally don’t think he’s THAT stupid. It’s why I tend to see the IRBM launch as an act of desperation even more than an act of careful escalation.

The only problem is, as I’ve been pointing out for two-plus years now, desperate people do stupid things. Russia finds itself battered upon the rocks such that any chance of the dream of Russkiy Mir are fading faster than the career of the Snow White actress. They are beset by matters economic, demographic, disease (AIDs and more), brain drain, and unrest in restive provinces. On our end of things, you have an administration and an administrative state that sees the end of the world as they know it. Which is why I’m not quite sure what to think about this article (HT Rich Lowe) suggesting a push for nuclear war to prevent the loss of power. Have to admit, what I would have considered unthinkable not all that long ago is now very thinkable.

Likely is the key, however. I don’t think we are there yet, and while it never hurts to prepare for the worst, I am not moving to gather the last-minute prep if I think the bombs are about to fly. I’m still very much trying to take care of basics (and thank you to everyone who donated recently! Your gifts are helping me get caught up on several things including needed OTCs and winter clothing).

I think where we are is an effort to cripple operations by Ukraine and to give an administration, that has ample reasons to forestall various efforts and investigations by an incoming administration, a valid excuse to move rapidly on a “settlement” beneficial to all (except the peoples of the countries involved).

If we were moving faster and closer to a nuclear exchange, I would expect to see some other signs. Could it happen? Yes. Will it happen? I’m doubtful for now. If it does happen, as I’ve been saying for a while now, I will be surprised if twenty percent of the systems work. I really don’t want to find out if I’m right, as there really is only one way to do so. But, I don’t see a need for fear or panic just yet.

I do think you should be prepared, as preparedness always pays. Hit the preparedness archive at need, and if you have questions, sound out. I hope to do a bit more on preparedness soon.

So, grab a towel and don’t panic. Be prepared, up your preparedness, and keep your friends close and your things where you can find them in the dark.

Getting hit by lightning is not fun! If you would like to help me in my recovery efforts, which include moving once we have medical issues cleared up, feel free to hit the fundraiser at A New Life on GiveSendGo, use the options in the Tip Jar in the upper right, or drop me a line to discuss other methods. There is also the Amazon Wish List in the Bard’s Jar. It is thanks to your gifts and prayers that I am still going. Thank you.

IRBM Use

Is it an escalation? Yes. It is concerning? Yes. Is it significant? Yes, but not necessarily in the way Vladimir intends/intended. More thoughts later, probably tomorrow, but while it bears (pun intended) watching, it may be more a sign of weakness than of strength. I’m out of pocket today, result of a special liturgy for the Archangel Michael (and all the angels, including my guardian angel to whom I am profusely apologizing for past actions) and other delights including Christmas Carol practice. No, don’t think Vladimir is going to do anything (yet at least) to interrupt plans and the holidays. Keep an eye on it, but much more worried about ongoing sabotage efforts than this.

Of Fractals And Fractures

Many analysts talk about patterns in the data. The pattern stands out when recognized, and as you visualize and explore it, it can become a visual, a fractal that can then merge and grows into a larger shape or pattern. If one stands back far enough, these fractals can take on a different appearance, or meaning. What is a shape, perhaps even a thing of beauty at a small scale, can present a much less benign appearance when seen combining with other shapes at a distance.

Take for instance a crack in a piece of ice, or glass. By itself, it can be a thing of beauty within the crystalline solid of clear ice. However, if enough of them form and join together, you realize that the structure of the ice is compromised and what you are seeing is the shatter-pattern present just before unity disintegrates.

If you have ever seen a sheet of modern safety glass that has shattered, but held structural integrity, you know that it is a thing of beauty. The patterns within the glass are complex and can even add to the beauty by individual pieces reflecting and even refracting light in different ways. It is a beauty that lasts up until even the smallest of external forces knocks a piece out of place. Then, quite often, the whole thing collapses into a pile of pieces.

Right now, I’m trying to figure out if I am seeing fractals around the world, or shatter patterns.

I haven’t written much about Russia or Vladimir lately, as there isn’t much earth shattering going on. It’s mostly the same old, same old as various people and factions jockey for position not only for power now, but to gain more power when Vladimir is gone. Are there those who want him gone? You bet your bippy. Are some of them allies or close to him? Again, safe bet. Are any of them likely to act soon? Not likely absent either an unexpected event or unexpectedly getting all the pieces in place.

As I noted previously, Kadyrov seems to be increasingly marginalized, and may no longer be the kingmaker he once was. Would dearly love to know if the 1,000 troops he had stationed near the Kremlin to support Vladimir are still in place. Behind the scenes there may be some movement to ensure the leadership is proper Russian, and those who are not are not allowed near the true levers of power.

I think I previously described some of what is going on as those in power trying to put up a sheet of frosted glass to hide what is going on as they jockey and prepare for a transition from Vladimir. It is coming one way or another within the next ten years, and the way things are going I would be willing to put a small wager on it being within five years.

Because that sheet of frosted glass may not be frosted, but showing the fractals becoming a shatter pattern.

The death of noted Putin critic Vladimir Shklyarov is a very small part of the frost. For all that it is being officially blamed on pain killers, defenestration has been the choice of the ruling clique. Looming much larger are other issues, such as the economy, lack of skilled workers, and a dwindling ethnic Rus/Slav population. The lack of skilled trades (which is true here too) is hammering Russian efforts to grow on all fronts, along with causing product shortages and transportation problems. The only way they can get needed parts (chips, electronics, etc.) is via European and U.S. companies (among others) supplying them despite sanctions. For all that he seems to have gone off the rails in the last year, the work Kamil Galeev was doing on this subject (as well as his work on the philosophical background to the current war) was excellent. There are links in previous posts, use the search function.

The Russian military has been shown to be a mostly paper bear if you will. Yes, they can put many more people in uniform and throw them into the meat grinder — if they are willing to tank the economy and finish the Rus/Slav ethnic groups as a viable population. The massive stockpiles of materials are in such bad shape it is easier and cheaper to make or buy new from elsewhere. There is reason to believe that the strategic/nuclear forces are in similar shape. Not sure ours are any better to be honest… There appears to be a (semi) organized resistance that is engaging in sabotage against the war and regime. Efforts to control news and information are not working as planned. There is more, but this gives you a good idea of some of the major problems faced. Add in that Vladimir and the top people live in information bubbles similar to our own so-called “elite” and you have leadership that is out of touch with reality at almost every level.

To be fair, China is in much the same boat. I’m not going to get into all the details, but their economy is in very bad shape, they have their own demographic issues, and an increasingly restive set of populations. For all that Winnie-the-Xi is trying hard to eliminate any competition, there remain those that could move against him. Yes, the Chinese are spending like mad on military and seem determined to go after Taiwan. Yes, if we go to war with them right now, I expect most of our Pacific fleet to be on the bottom rather rapidly. For more on this, see the works of Cdr. Salamander who is all over this with very good takes. They are being very aggressive on many fronts, but are not as strong as they try to appear in all of them. One or two major stumbles or bits of pushback, and things may well change rapidly and dynamically.

I’ve noted before that Iran is a powder keg that grows more unstable every day. There are other countries with similar issues and problems, and it is true with them as well.

Even here, the so-called credentialed elite that have been in charge since Wilson are facing change. The existing power structure is fractured, rotten, and I think they are just milking it for as long as they can, even as they try to create a new socialist/communist system to make that go a bit further. Problem is, they didn’t and don’t have complete control of media and information (thank you Elon) and really did not expect the pushback they got in the last election. Again, there are economic and demographic issues, of which the millions in illegal immigrants play a part.

So, am I seeing fractals or shatter patterns? Increasingly, I think the answer is the latter, which makes it a fun and interesting time. Change is scary. Massive change is terrifying. What comes next, here or there? In times of massive change, terrors are oft the norm. The times are indeed perilous for while we avoided the socialist pattern this election, there are more elections to come and the old system will not go down without a fight.

My thought is: keep pushing. Fight for what is right, fight for individual freedom and liberty, fight for the Republic, and most of all, fight for the ideals that defined Western civilization that took man to the moon. Let’s build on that as we have an option right now for a path that will take us to the stars.

Won’t be easy, won’t be fun in many ways, but it can be done. There may be hardship, sorrow, and more. But, in the end, we have the chance to leave a better world to our children. Maybe even we can enjoy it for a bit ourselves.

Fight. Fight. Fight.

I also suggest you pray. I made a change to one of the morning prayers so that it now says “…save the suffering people of Earth from the yoke of the godless authority.” A prayer or three for this world and our own country would not amiss as well (yes, do that too).

Meantime, be active, push your congresscritters and local governments to do what is right. Be prepared. Keep your friends close and your things where you can find them in the dark.

Predictable, If Despicable

On cue, the attack has begun. I’m a little surprised that they chose to go after Pete rather than Matt Gaetz, but on reflection I think it reflects the fact that they see Pete, and the cleaning up of DoD, as the greater threat to the status quo. Besides, they fully believe that Gaetz is DOA in committee and will not advance to confirmation.

After all, it’s endless war and constant emergencies that enable massive looting of treasuries and money laundering that are essential to the status quo of the credentialed “elite” that see their control slipping. It is the excuse for draconian and other “emergency” measures to “deal with this unprecedented” crisis du jour. As such, having control of the DoD becomes paramount. It is through that control that things like Biden giving Ukraine permission to fire on Russia with U.S. made weapons (despite the rather clear mandate of the last election), or Blinken stating that they will send Ukraine as many supplies and funds as they can before Trump takes office.

Also, in my opinion, it has been the goal of Obama (and he is a key player in the Biden Regency, which is basically Obama III in policy terms) to gut the U.S. military for reasons of his own. Reasons not in the best interest of the Republic.

So, the legacy/corporate media, having already tossed aside any pretense of objectivity and professionalism over the last ten or so years (and particularly the last four years), jumps in with a predictable attack. The goal is to damage Pete Hegseth, or to create a chimera of unfitness, sufficient to allow establishment republicans and other craven cowards to avoid supporting him. Note that they don’t have to openly oppose him; rather, they simply have to express concern that he is tainted such that he isn’t a viable candidate. It allows them to focus on the appearance, the chimera, rather than the facts and it puts it on an emotional level beloved of progressives and those seeking to manipulate people.

And what better way to do that than to attack an institution they loathe: Christianity. Short version is that when one wants to reshape America (and the world) into a progressive socialist/communist entity, you have to destroy the philosophical underpinnings of that society. The cornerstone of much of the philosophy that undergirds the Republic comes from Christianity. The concept of the individual being capable of choosing the right path for themselves, individual freedom and liberty, and — importantly — individual responsibility all derive in part (or in whole) from the tenets of Christianity. Even informed consent derives from same. Christianity was also the driving force behind the elimination of slavery, an institution which frankly most progressives would like to see return (and given a different name).

Now, Pete is a proud, unrepentant, Evangelical Christian. That is enough to send progressives into a frothing rage on it’s own, but combine that with other positions he holds, and a strong desire and the ability to clean up DoD and return the focus to war fighting capabilities (rather than social experimentation and losing wars), and they fear him even more than they hate him. So, two birds with one stone by attacking him via his Christianity.

The key to the attack lies in lying about two tattoos he has (which are hard to miss). The main attack seems to be against the Jerusalem Cross, which has been a symbol of Jerusalem within the Roman Catholic church for a bit over a thousand years now. Depending on which source you go with, the four Greek crosses with the larger cross represent the five wounds of Christ (hands, feet, spear); Jesus and four apostles; and, I think there may be a couple of other interpretations floating around out there. Key is, it’s been in use within the Roman Catholic church and various protestant denominations for a while now. It is used to represent the Latin patriarch of Jerusalem, Equestrian Order of the Holy Sepulchre of Jerusalem, and is frequently used as a tattoo to signify a pilgrimage to Jerusalem and the Holy Lands by Roman Catholics and others.

It is not a major symbol of white nationalism, white supremacy, or Christian nationalism. No doubt some fringe group(s) somewhere may have used it at some time, but the same can be said for almost any other symbol out there. To claim otherwise is a bunch of bovine excrement. Yeah, watching my language a bit…

Again, the media is lying but the talking point has gone forth. The idea is to create an impression of something amiss, a chimera of unfitness, since reality is otherwise. It is all to give cover to sellouts and cowards. Make a note of those who go with it, or even flirt with it: they need to be voted out ASAP. Yes, we got a reprieve this election, but it makes it even more urgent to take care of down-ballot offices in the midterms. If those are not fought and won, the big win may not have the long-term effects needed for the health and continuation of the Republic.

To be honest, I expect worse to come. There are fractures appearing lots of interesting places, here and abroad. The landslide on November 5th has revealed some here, and it has those depending on the status quo terrified. As I’ve said before, don’t expect them to just give up and go away. They are going to lash out, and fight to try to preserve their world for as long as they can. That said, they are on the way out and while it may not be fun, nice, or painless, we can win — as Sarah Hoyt frequently notes.

My thought right now is to not fall for this, to laugh and and openly mock (with facts even) those pushing the lie. Get the truth out, and make them dance naked before the world to emphasize that they are propagandists, not journalists. Point to real journalists on X and blogs, emphasize them, and note how often they are right versus legacy/corporate media. Back those people as well, by funds. I’ve decided to spend money on X by getting a checkmark again to provide financial support for X. While it is not yet a truly free speech platform (IMO), it is the best out there for free speech and needs the support to continue.

Also, contact your congresscritters and urge them to back Pete. I would be careful about adding anything about not supporting them if they don’t, but an implication of such is not amiss IMO. The idea behind the attack is to give cover to the craven, so let them know they have your support on this confirmation. If they get the message from enough people, they will also get “the message” if you will.

We are not out of the woods yet, but we have what I regard as a very unexpected opportunity. Make the most of it. Be prepared. Keep your friends close, and your things where you can find them in the dark.

Ahoo Dariyaei’s Revolution

I meant to write about this when it happened, but it is well worth exploring a bit as she may yet see justice. This post on X explores a bit and is well worth reading. In fact, in defiance of short opening paragraphs (rules exist to be broken), here is an earlier post, along with two other good posts here and here.

There are various icons/cartoons/artworks of her in her underwear out there, but I will not link them. I think the intent was well meant, but in my opinion they sanitize the situation and reduce her to a simplistic caricature that demeans her and diminishes her act of defiance.

First, understand the term “morality police” implies that there is a unified office under which all operate. That is not the case, as there are a variety of morality police forces and they are in effect the enforcement arm of the government. There are district morality police, school morality police, neighborhood morality police, etc. Even the most minor of infractions, such as a bit of hair showing under a covering will get you attacked and beaten. You can’t escape from them, if you fight back you and your family will be targeted.

If they arrest you, what awaits is quite often rape, torture, and death. Most are beaten to death, but if there has been resistance or other to raise the stakes, they can be hung. Keep in mind that rape is a tool, and one mandated years ago by the Ayatollah who decreed that female prisoners of any age were to be raped before execution so they would go to hell and not to heaven. No joke. If you want to learn the horrors that await those who defy these animals, there is plenty out there for you to look up. No, not linking as this is something you need to look up and see for yourself, so that it can’t be dismissed as mere propaganda.

Which brings us back to this young lady, Ahoo Dariyaei. Watch the video. She was attacked, fought back, and then they were surprised. Look at her face, at the anger there, as she raised the stakes on them. Then watch her as she realizes where she is at in terms of choices. You see the anger, the fear, and then the determination. She very clearly knows what awaits (rape, torture, death most likely), and steps forward anyway. She makes a choice, and though she is scared, she steps up and out anyway. That is the choice of a martyr, a willing sacrifice.

Her act spread like wildfire, and was such a threat that the mad mullahs did something unusual. She didn’t get the usual, but was instead sent to a mental hospital as they are frantically trying to paint her as mentally unstable (frequent tactic of tyrants of all stripes). If you think she hasn’t been drugged, tortured, and more, you are delusional. Again, you can find accounts of what happens in Iran (and elsewhere) on line, but it is knowledge you need to find for yourself.

Now, one reason for the different treatment is that right now, Iran is a powder keg looking for a spark, and the mad mullahs know this. The majority of the population wants them gone, and only the work of the “morality police” and not-so-secret police are keeping a lid on things — barely. If something happened to prevent support forces from rolling and orders being given, who knows what might happen.

My guesstimate is that it would take the, ah, disappearance of a dozen people or less (maybe even as few as five) for the spark to finally hit the powder. Block deployment of IRGC support forces, and there would be a boom today.

One of the largest factors preventing the boom is our current Regency, which has gone to extraordinary lengths to protect the mad mullahs. And to fund them. This has been Obama policy from the start, in defiance of facts, logic, morality, and more. More than just Israel would be happy to help with making those dozen or so people disappear, though at least one has no real means to project power that far. I would argue that a surgical strike that set the conditions would allow the population to revolt.

Now, the odds of a successful revolution are not good. Think we’ve talked about this before since truly successful revolutions in history can pretty much be counted on one hand. However, keep in mind that the people of Iran have a couple of options for new governance, including a return of the Pahlavi dynasty in one form or another. At least one other option has been discussed if not set-up in exile. This gives them better odds than most.

I think they may try to sit on her for a while, as right now releasing what’s left of her, or her corpse, may well put fuse to powder anyway. Her act of defiance has hit a nerve that is resonating with the people in a big way. There have been others before, and they still are having to spend time and effort to keep those incidents quashed. They realize that this will apply here, in her case, but I think they may also sense that this could tip things, at home and abroad. Maybe.

Which is why I think they will delay, and delay could work for her and the people of Iran. The current Regency is on it’s way out the door. With them gone, options will open up. We do not have to take a direct role. In fact, the best thing for the U.S. to do is simply to stop protecting the mad mullahs, and let nature take it’s course. And perhaps let it be known that we would be glad to recognize a new government truly representing the people of Iran. And it would be a very good idea for us to do so before the mad mullahs get the bomb. Just a thought.

Meantime, if you are a praying sort, consider saying a prayer for Ahoo Dariyaei and the oppressed people of Iran. Do not diminish her to a caricature, or sanitize her knowing and willful sacrifice. She, and the oppressed people of Iran deserve much better than that.

Still Here

Finally got some antibiotics for the walking pneumonia going around that I managed to catch (without trying even). It is one pill a day, and you can tell when you take it. Didn’t help that I had a bad night last night, turns out I got all my nightly pills out into the bowl and then forgot to take them.

Right now, enjoying watching the show of heads exploding as Trump picks his cabinet. Several solid ones in there, and hoping that Pete gets a good team to back him as SecDef. With good picks on service secs, it should be amazing to watch. Know who I would like to see in a couple of spots, but figure not much chance. Only about two so far I’m not sure about, and am convinced that one is either 6-D chess or 6-D trolling (maybe both).

Hoping to be back up to speed here soon. Until then, resting, drinking lots of fluids, and the usual cures. More soon.

I’m Not Dead Yet!

Sorry for the silence, but life has been interesting. Yes, I am amazed (and delighted) at the election. Disappointed in some of the down-ballot races, as they can be even more important than the national, but shocked, amazed, and pleased that the level of “fortification” has been (mostly) held down so far. Boy Howdy was a message sent.

Sadly, many are putting fingers in ears and kicking their feet, not only on the left but especially on the establishment right. The selection of a new majority leader in the Senate may well be either the last gasp of the establishment Republicans or the rise of the Sith. Only time will tell and it depends on you keeping the heat on where and when it is needed.

And, yes, there was a great disturbance in the Force and a clear message was sent. For all that, there seems to be a LOT of ‘We’re sorry, the number you have dialed is…’ going on. Keep in mind the establishment does not like us, Trump, or anything to do with change. They are going to fight this tooth and nail, though given the turn-out and message, they are likely to be a bit more discrete than last time. Keep in mind, for them this is Gotterdammerung as it is the end of the credentialed elite. This is all they have known, and they are going to fight like cornered rats to keep on with it despite the vote.

Push them. Hold them accountable. Light them up. Let them complain about being bullied. We’ve tried nice, both within the camp and to other parties. Remember that kicks in the teeth were the response. Screw that. Let them build the bridges and make the steps, we need to be done and save the Republic while we can. Hate to say it, but being nice little milquetoast squishes is not the way. Save the Republic, then look at having them mend fences. Me, I’m done. Let them reach out, as our efforts have only hurt us and kept us from being effective.

No, I don’t like any of the three Senate majority leader candidates the swamp has picked. I’m down with the camp calling for JD to be both President of the Senate and Senate Majority Leader. Plenty of Constitutional and historical precedence and it would make things much easier for the administration. Again, forget being nice — be practical and effective.

Right now, I seem to be trying to come down/fight off the walking pneumonia that is going around. Been down several days now. If not better soon, will head to the doc (reluctantly) and see about antibiotics. I’m tired, I’m dragging, and the normal efforts only seem to be calling a draw. Grrrr. On the other hand, I’ve found a Korean place that may have some good ‘cure or kill’ food I like, and may even have a particular dish I’ve loved for years.

As a very broke undergraduate, I fell in love with a place called “Seoul House” in Chicago may decades ago. A delightful older Korean couple owned it and they introduced me to some wonderful food. Think almost a Korean version of “Miracle Max” and Valerie. She told me, rather gleefully one time, that they cooked “American-Korean” and not “Korean-Korean” as when they opened and did the former, “customer never come back.” The mental image of American customers fleeing into the night screaming and breathing flames has amused me ever since. Thankfully, once they got to know you, they would fix you “Korean-Korean.”

They did one dish in particular, a version of Bibem Nengmyun, that I loved. They called the beef “fire meat” and it was. Which paired wonderfully with the cold buckwheat noodles, the spicy-savory sauce, and pickled vegetables. Forget now what they called the dish, but you had almost every pairing possible (sweet-sour, spicy-refreshing, salty-sweet, etc.) in every bite. And at a price even a very broke student could afford every few months. The egg on top just made it.

Before I break down and go to the doc for antibiotics, think I’m going to go try to burn it out. And if their version of my old favorite is as good as I hear, I may get to take a trip down memory lane in the process. Not to mention having a new place to go when I want comfort food.

Yes, celebrate the victory that was the election. Don’t think that those we are trying to show the door are going to just roll over and go quietly. Expect the unexpected, expect resistance (a la what is happening at the Pentagon, EPA, and elsewhere), and expect the unexpected. Frankly, I’m amazed that Trump is still alive and will not be surprised if they try for him again, possibly more than once. Heck, I will be surprised if they don’t. Watch them to go after Elon and others, try to drive wedges, and join with the grifters right and left to try to hang on.

Press on! Make notes, deal with people and issues as needed, but press on! Just remember, cornered rats are nasty and this bunch ain’t done yet. Be prepared.

More soon, but I feel the need for speed, er, a nap to be honest. Be not afraid, but don’t get cocky kid. The fear is theirs, and a lot more masks just dropped and it is clear there are a lot more of us than of them. Press on.

More soon. “Fight, Fight, FIGHT!”

Vote

Today is the day. If you have not already done so, do your civic responsibility and make an informed vote in all races. I’m not going to tell you who to vote for, in any race, but beg you with tears in my eyes to make an informed vote in all races.

If you are looking for thoughts and such, Sarah has a good take. My own are summed up as follows: earn my vote. My matrix for evaluation starts with freedom and individual liberty, is closely followed by economics, and winds down from there. Far too many down-ballot candidates here put out nothing about their positions on issues or make any effort to get (much less earn) my vote as they are the only candidate running.

Their take is that I have to vote for them. Their mistake. No, I do not. And I don’t. Earn it, or you don’t get it.

As noted in a previous post, I voted early. I don’t like to do so (can help cheaters cheat on several levels), but I have to deal with the medical establishment today and decided not to risk it. After all, I very much do believe that if you don’t vote, you have no right to complain.

I’m also watching a lot of effort going into encouraging people not to vote. The fewer that vote, the greater the odds of certain candidates winning; and, the closer it is, the easier it is to cheat/fortify/etc. Don’t give them the chance. Even if it’s a forlorn hope or a total wipeout, pile it on! Your vote is important in more than one way. Do NOT waste it.

So, get out there, and vote. It is important.

Update 4 Nov 24

Sorry for the lack of posting, but interesting things are afoot. I’m now waiting on the last bit of testing to be approved and scheduled for the neurological consult. For those new here, I was hit by lightning three years ago, and we are doing a new round of testing (with a new neurologist) as the brain is probably as healed as it is going to get. The largest surprise so far is that the MRI does show a brain in place, and not just a big echoey collapsing ancient temple with a tired hamster and busted exercise wheel in the middle of it.

Still no word on disability, but not surprised as I really don’t expect to hear anything for a while yet. Really don’t expect good news either, but that may just be the result of the last 2.5 years of process.

I’ve had to put the guitar lessons on hiatus for right now. It’s a combination of several factors including finances, schedule, and the possibility I may have to find a new place to live here in Indy. My landlord, IMO, changed the terms of kitchen access such that it (again, IMO) almost negates use. Frankly, his terms are acceptable, but it does provide me some incentive to start looking around. It also messes with many other things, from guitar to Church. It is also not my top priority as there is medical and more that needs to come first.

I also have cancelled my gym membership. Largest reason is financial, along with not being able to get there very often right now. Until other things settle down (location, etc.) it’s something I can get by without. There are ways to improvise on some of the upper body, and I do get in a good bit of walking these days.

If you did not do early voting, go vote tomorrow! I did do early voting as I have an appointment with the ENT tomorrow and a very weird bus schedule as a result. Hoping to get answers on some vertigo issues that popped up, as well as a better understanding on how my hearing is/isn’t doing.

For the latest wishlist items, and anonymous donation, THANK YOU! No info in package, but already playing with the items and testing a few things.

Between the guitar lessons and becoming a chanter at Church, I feel the music “therapy” has done a lot for me. Of the odd gaps in my memory, not being able to read sheet music and having to relearn to sing (and stay on pitch) is a weird one. Thankfully, our music director is very patient, and (like me) sees the music as excellent therapy. Which means she sees it almost as a duty and definitely as a challenge. So, she’s pushing me in her own way, which is a good thing. Hope to be doing more with that and at Church in the days ahead.

Speaking of which, our “Old World Christmas Village & Market” is Friday 6 December from 5-9 pm and Saturday 7 December from 10-3. There are gift shops, events, food, coffee & hot chocolate (and maybe more, stay tuned), and more. I will be working in The Lamp Post, which is our coffee shop/meeting room that features a replica of the bar from the Eagle & Child Pub in Cambridge where the Inklings (C.S. Lewis, Tolkien, et al) met each week. Come by and we will tell you how that replica ended up in the Church and how it is shaping a number of things. 1516 N. Delaware, Indianapolis, Joy of All Who Sorrow Orthodox Church. Oh, word is that Santa Lucia will be making a visit again this year. Yes, I am enjoying being active in the Church and may be doing even more soon.

There was something else I was going to share, but I didn’t write it down, and so it is gone. If it is important and comes back, will add it later. For those of you hitting the tip jar or the wish list, thank you! To say things remain tight is an understatement, and your gifts and prayers continue to make a big difference. By next spring we should have answers as to where things are medically, which is going to determine my future plans. No moving out of state for now as my insurance will not transfer and is very much needed. Between that and the quality of care I’m now getting, not inclined to rock the boat.

More soon. Thank you again for your patience and your help!